Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
3%chance
Install
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor? (Before 2027)
The odds
4%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 4% on Oct 20, 4% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $17.24 | 79.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Fed chair, Federal Reserve chair, Powell
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Fed Chair Warsh offers no insight into rate decisions at IMF meetingSpeculation about additional hikes followed reports this week of unexpected increases in inflation. Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh spoke at the International Monetary Fund meetings in Bangkok on Friday, offering no indications on rate… -
Is Fed Chair Kevin Warsh About To Pop CoreWeave's Bubble?CoreWeave (CRWV -0.44%) has taken center stage in the AI bubble debate. Concerns about CoreWeave brought down the broader chip and tech sectors last week, and the stock could continue to serve as an avatar for the broader AI sector as… -
Fed chair Warsh focused on price stability, issues no hit on rate hikeNBC News Fed chair Warsh focused on price stability, issues no hit on rate hike Inside Michigan’s critical midterm Senate battle September inflation rises to 3.7%, driven by high diesel prices Affording America: Portrait of a Family in… -
3 Words From Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Suggest the Worst Is Yet to Come for Wall StreetLast week, Wall Street's artificial intelligence (AI)-driven bull market celebrated its fourth anniversary. Earlier this month, the benchmark S&P 500 (^GSPC -1.09%) and tech-powered Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC -2.15%) both catapulted to new… -
Fed chair Warsh says AI is likely 'most consequential change' to the economy 'in my lifetime'Fox News Fed chair Warsh says AI is likely 'most consequential change' to the economy 'in my lifetime' Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh speaks to Kristalina Georgieva, the managing director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF)… -
Federal Reserve Chair Warsh Prioritises Price Stability, Withholds Rate Signalsstreamlinefeed.co.ke Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh has reaffirmed the central bank’s unwavering commitment to restoring price stability, while deliberately withholding any signals regarding the future path of interest rates… -
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Says AI Investment Is Raising Costs Before Productivity Gains Begin to ArriveFed Chair Kevin Warsh warns that AI investment is adding inflation pressure before productivity gains arrive, as central banks reassess borrowing costs. The global artificial intelligence investment boom is creating an unexpected challenge… -
Fed chair Warsh says price stability is key but shies away from signals about ratesThe Washington Post BANGKOK — Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh said Friday he won’t prejudge what the U.S. central bank will do about interest rates at its upcoming meetings in October and December. The Fed increased its key interest… -
Former Fed Chair Jerome Powell's 6-Word Warning Echoes Louder Than Ever -- and It Should Rightly Terrify Wall StreetThis has been a year packed with history-making moments on Wall Street. We've watched the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI -0.34%), S&P 500 (^GSPC -1.09%), and Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC -2.15%) climb to several record highs, and witnessed… -
Fed Chair Warsh Sees AI Productivity Potential While Maintaining Focus on InflationFederal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh said artificial intelligence could increase economic productivity over the medium term, although the transition may create uncertainty for employment, inflation and financial markets. Speaking at an… -
Tesla Unveils Flying Roadster Supercar, Shares Surge; Fed Chair Warsh Declines to Discuss October Rate PathU.S. stock futures were mixed in premarket trading. Tesla officially unveiled its next-generation Roadster supercar, equipped with a cold-gas thruster system co-developed with SpaceX that enables mid-air flips and controlled landings, with… -
Fed chair stresses price stability, avoids rate signalsFederal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh said Friday he won’t prejudge what the U.S. central bank will do about interest rates at its upcoming meetings in October and December. The Fed increased its key interest rate by a quarter-point to…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.