Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
30%December 31, 2028
- December 31, 20262%
- June 30, 202710%
- December 31, 202716%▲ 1
1 more
- December 31, 202830%
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Top AI model this month (Oct 31, 2026)
The odds
72%gemini-4-argon-high
- gemini-4-argon-high72%▼ 19
- claude-opus-5.5-high1%
- claude-fable-5.1-max1%
How the odds have moved
gemini-4-argon-high: 78% on Oct 20, 72% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| gemini-4-argon-high | 72% | ▼ 19 | 67¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | 7.6K |
| claude-opus-5.5-high | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 12.1K | ||
| claude-fable-5.1-max | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 30.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: AI model, artificial intelligence
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Forced to pick, Grok’s AI model chooses Republicans. OpenAI’s picks Democrats.Buy One Founder Summit Ticket, Get a Second for Free. Register now. Most AI chatbots won’t outright tell you who to vote for, but some of the models behind them will. A new study found that when forced to choose in this year’s upcoming… -
Did Texas use artificial intelligence to call fourth-down play against Florida? Longhorns AD clarifies reportArch Manning 2026 season at Texas has far underperformed what many expected out of a potential top-10 draft pick in the 2027 NFL Draft. Ryan Leaf speaks with Craig Carton about Manning's season so far. On the same day that the University… -
OpenAI now trains its frontier AI models with no internet accessAI agents can still communicate without a network connection, OpenAI found. OpenAI paused training its frontier AI models in September, after disclosing several incidents in which its AI agents broke out of their testing environments to… -
Artificial intelligence now detects most wildfires in CaliforniaArtificial intelligence helped a company detect a big source of geothermal energy. The nation of Zambia used artificial intelligence to find new mineral wealth. Artificial intelligence appears to be have created more jobs than it… -
Mathematical Foundations of Artificial Intelligence (MFAI)Status: Waiting for new publication Important information for proposers and award recipients All proposals must be submitted in accordance with the requirements specified in the funding opportunity and in the Proposal & Award Policies &… -
Artificial Intelligence Advances CNS Autoimmune Disease CareARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE is increasingly being explored as a tool to improve diagnosis, monitoring, and prognostic assessment in central nervous system (CNS) autoimmune diseases, according to a new review of current evidence. These… -
Jack Dorsey’s Block made an AI model that talks to you like an awkward new friendYou have got to listen to these conversations with Block’s new Dessa AI model. Jack Dorsey’s Block announced an AI model called Dessa that’s trained “from scratch on nothing but human conversation,” and to show off the model, Block shared… -
Artificial Intelligence Stocks To Research – October 22ndHut 8, Tempus AI, SentinelOne, Appian, and Upstart are the five Artificial Intelligence stocks to watch today, according to MarketBeat’s stock screener tool. Artificial intelligence stocks are shares of publicly traded companies that… -
A Third of Young Adults Turn to Artificial Intelligence for Substance-Use InformationNewswise — More than 32% of participants in a Rutgers study reported using ChatGPT and similar chatbots for substance-use information. Rutgers Health researchers used survey data from nearly 1,000 participants to examine the frequency and… -
#Artificial IntelligenceSeraphis Group, a global private investment group, has announced plans to commit 3 billion dollars to artificial intelligence startups over the next 12 months. The commitment makes AI one of the group’s most significant areas of focus as… -
Ambassador for Cyber Affairs, Artificial Intelligence and Critical TechnologyToday I announce the appointment of Dr Derek Bopping as Australia’s next Ambassador for Cyber Affairs, Artificial Intelligence and Critical Technology. For Australia, leadership in these fields is a foreign policy priority, central to… -
NCERT Introduces Module On Computational Thinking, Artificial Intelligence For Classes 9-12Designed for students with no prior knowledge of AI, the module introduces Computational Thinking (CT) as a systematic approach to problem-solving. It also helps students understand how AI works, its applications, potential, and…
Related markets
All ai ›Which company has the best AI model end of October?
91%Google
- Google91%▲ 5
- Anthropic8%▼ 3
- OpenAI1%
18 more
- Meta<1%
- Moonshot<1%
- Alibaba<1%
- Baidu<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- SpaceXAI<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Amazon<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- Thinky<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Tencent<1%
- StepFun<1%
- Microsoft<1%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
70%No release by October 31
- No release by October 3170%▲ 1
- October 2712%▲ 2
- October 295%▼ 1
11 more
- October 284%▲ 1
- October 263%▲ 1
- October 313%▲ 2
- October 301%▼ 2
- October 201%▼ 12
- October 251%▼ 2
- October 241%
- October 19<1%▼ 2
- October 21<1%▼ 5
- October 22<1%▼ 14
- October 23<1%▼ 4
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
Nov 20, 2026even chance by
- October 21<1%▼ 12
- October 22<1%▼ 14
- October 241%▼ 3
2 more
- October 3130%▼ 1
- December 3194%
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
1,410median
1,3801,480
Median 1,410Middle half 1,405 – 1,415
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
49%Anthropic
- Anthropic49%▲ 3
- Google40%
- OpenAI6%▲ 1
12 more
- Meta1%
- xAI1%
- Alibaba1%
- Moonshot1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Microsoft<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Amazon<1%
- Baidu<1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.