Brazil Presidential Election
>99%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva>99%▲ 81
- Flávio Bolsonaro<1%▼ 81
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Taiwan Legislative Yuan by-elections winner? (2027)
The odds
75%Democratic Progressive Party
- Democratic Progressive Party75%
- Kuomintang24%
How the odds have moved
Democratic Progressive Party: 75% on Oct 19, 75% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Progressive Party | 75% | 71¢ | 78¢ | $1.28 | 19.00 | |
| Kuomintang | 24% | 20¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: China, Taiwan, Taiwan Legislative Yuan
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Taiwanese Comedian’s Assault Case Raises Alarm Over China’s Transnational RepressionTaiwanese prosecutors have indicted five men accused of helping a Chinese national orchestrate an attack on comedian Huang Yi-hao in an alleged attempt to stop him from performing material mocking Chinese leader Xi Jinping. Huang, 44… - Taiwan to deny officials permission to travel to Beijing — South China Morning PostTaiwan to deny officials Beijing travel permits — SCMP UA.NEWS Taiwan to deny officials permission to travel to Beijing — South China Morning Post In Taiwan, the Mainland Affairs Council will deny officials permission to travel to Beijing…
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People's Daily Blasts Taiwan's Rejection of a Mainland Star's Fan-Meeting VisaMainland actor Zhang Linghe applied to hold fan meetings in Taiwan and was refused — and People's Daily turned the rejection into a sweeping editorial about cross-strait culture, pairing it with Jay Chou's 'I am Chinese' moment. Stay… -
Puma Shen’s Surge In Taiwan Recalls Mamdani Rise In NY, Raises Stakes“You would assume Chiang would be on a glide path to victory,” said the Washington, D.C.-headquartered Brookings Institution’s China and Taiwan expert Ryan Hass in a recent interview. “There are some parallels to the Mamdani-Cuomo election… -
Taiwan Scholars Warn Chinese Election Interference Aims to Erode Trust in DemocracyHome » World » Taiwan Scholars Warn Chinese Election Interference Aims to Erode Trust in Democracy Taiwanese scholars warned that Chinese Communist Party (CCP) election interference is designed not only to influence individual races but… -
Never to be undermined: Remembering Taiwan's return to ChinaOct 25 marks the Commemoration Day of Taiwan's Restoration. Eighty-one years ago, Taiwan returned to China after half a century of Japanese colonial rule. "The restoration of Taiwan was achieved ... Never to be undermined: Remembering… -
What's holding up Washington's $14b arms sale to Taiwan?Taiwan has been waiting months for US President Donald Trump to approve a $14 billion sale of weapons and equipment, which the island democracy would use to fend off a potential Chinese attack. Washington -- Taipei's most important… -
Taiwan Warns of More Chinese Presence Around IslandChina is ramping up pressure on Taiwan, with Chinese military and Coast Guard vessels operating in waters around the island every day. What would you like to watch today? Taiwan Warns of More Chinese Presence Around Island What Pollsters… -
China accused of pressuring families of Taiwan politicians ahead of key electionTaipei [Taiwan], October 24 (ANI): China is allegedly stepping up efforts to intimidate relatives of Taiwanese politicians it considers supporters of independence, raising concerns about possible interference in Taiwan’s upcoming… -
Taiwan Intelligence Flags Surge in AI-Driven Chinese Disinformation Ahead of Local Electionshttps://streamlinefeed.co.ke/ Taiwan’s security and intelligence agencies have issued urgent warnings regarding a significant escalation in Chinese cyberattacks and artificial intelligence-driven disinformation campaigns targeting the… -
US think tank report highlights Chinese interference in Taipei raceThe People's Republic of China (PRC) could be intensifying suppression of family members of so-called “diehard Taiwanese separatists,” including the father of Taipei mayoral candidate Puma Shen (沈伯洋), in an attempt to sway the upcoming… -
Iran's mountain shelters offer Taiwan a China survival playbookIran’s rapid post-strike recovery of its Eagle 44 airbase proves that hardened mountain shelters remain a decisive shield against precision firepower, transforming how inferior air forces survive and deter superior adversaries. This month…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions