Taiwan Local Elections winner? (2026)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Nov 28, 2027 · $20 today · $6.5K traded · $2.5K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

66%Kuomintang
  • Kuomintang66%
  • Democratic Progressive Party28%▼ 3
  • Taiwan People’s Party2%

How the odds have moved

Kuomintang: 66% on Oct 20, 66% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Kuomintang 66% 64¢ 67¢ $1.49 8.0K
Democratic Progressive Party 28% ▼ 3 27¢ 28¢ $3.57 4.6K
Taiwan People’s Party 2% 4¢ $25.00 107

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: China, Taiwan, Taiwan Local

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  • China accused of six tactics to interfere in Taiwans local electionsNews18 · 4 days agoTaipei [Taiwan], October 22 (ANI): Taiwan’s National Security Bureau (NSB) has accused the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) of employing six tactics to influence Taiwan’s upcoming nine-in-one local elections, including allegedly using…
  • Kevin Tsai says he has never supported Taiwan independence台北時報 · 35 h agoTelevision host Kevin Tsai (蔡康永) last night broke his silence over a controversy surrounding his appearance at a campaign event for Democratic Progressive Party Taipei mayoral candidate Puma Shen (沈伯洋), saying he had never supported Taiwan…
  • Taiwanese Comedian’s Assault Case Raises Alarm Over China’s Transnational RepressionThe Epoch Times · 4 days agoTaiwanese prosecutors have indicted five men accused of helping a Chinese national orchestrate an attack on comedian Huang Yi-hao in an alleged attempt to stop him from performing material mocking Chinese leader Xi Jinping. Huang, 44…
  • Never to be undermined: Remembering Taiwan's return to China@ChinaDailyApp · 39 h agoOct 25 marks the Commemoration Day of Taiwan's Restoration. Eighty-one years ago, Taiwan returned to China after half a century of Japanese colonial rule. "The restoration of Taiwan was achieved ... Never to be undermined: Remembering…
  • Russia Trains China’s Army for Taiwan While Beijing Fuels Moscow’s WarThe Gateway Pundit · 34 h agoRussia is training Chinese soldiers in drone warfare and urban combat and has agreed to equip and train a battalion of Chinese paratroopers, while China supplies 90 percent of the sanctioned technology entering Russia. “For decades, Russia…
  • Obama: "We Welcome China's Rise"CBS News · 6 h agoJanuary 20, 2011 / 9:58 AM EST / CBS News China's rapid growth is often painted as a threat to American interests. But President Obama said today that the country's economic progress benefits the United States and opens the door to greater…
  • Taiwan Warns of More Chinese Presence Around IslandNTD · 2 days agoChina is ramping up pressure on Taiwan, with Chinese military and Coast Guard vessels operating in waters around the island every day. What would you like to watch today? Taiwan Warns of More Chinese Presence Around Island What Pollsters…
  • October 25, 1945: China takes control of TaiwanFakti.bg · 39 h agoOct 25, 2026 02:00 107 The ceremony in which Japan hands over control of Taiwan and the Penghu Islands is held in Taipei City Hall on October 25, 1945. Japanese Governor-General Rikichi Ando signs the surrender documents, and General Chen…
  • China accused of pressuring families of Taiwan politicians ahead of key electionNews18 · 46 h agoTaipei [Taiwan], October 24 (ANI): China is allegedly stepping up efforts to intimidate relatives of Taiwanese politicians it considers supporters of independence, raising concerns about possible interference in Taiwan’s upcoming…
  • Puma Shen’s Surge In Taiwan Recalls Mamdani Rise In NY, Raises StakesForbes · 4 days ago“You would assume Chiang would be on a glide path to victory,” said the Washington, D.C.-headquartered Brookings Institution’s China and Taiwan expert Ryan Hass in a recent interview. “There are some parallels to the Mamdani-Cuomo election…
  • China’s sanctions on Taiwan allies project its power, but with limited effectRadio Free Asia · 14 h agoChina’s sanctions against foreign officials over their ties with Taiwan help Beijing project power and warn other governments, even as their financial impact and success in curbing engagement remain limited, analysts told Radio Free Asia…
  • People's Daily Blasts Taiwan's Rejection of a Mainland Star's Fan-Meeting VisaTrending on Weibo · 4 days agoMainland actor Zhang Linghe applied to hold fan meetings in Taiwan and was refused — and People's Daily turned the rejection into a sweeping editorial about cross-strait culture, pairing it with Jay Chou's 'I am Chinese' moment. Stay…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions