Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)
293median
250340
Median 293Middle half 281.4 – 304.2
Install
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/2 - 11/8)
The odds
295median
250340
Median 295Middle half 282.3 – 306.4
How the odds have moved
Median: 295.4 on Oct 30, 295 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 260 | 96% | ▲ 2 | 95¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 4.7K |
| Above 270 | 91% | 90¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | 1.5K | |
| Above 280 | 79% | 78¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 5.0K | |
| Above 290 | 64% | 63¢ | 64¢ | $1.56 | ||
| Above 300 | 37% | ▲ 1 | 36¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | 810 |
| Above 310 | 19% | 18¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 1.1K | |
| Above 320 | 8% | ▼ 2 | 7¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 384 |
| Above 330 | 6% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 4.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Suez Canal
Search ›- 20th crude oil tanker transits Suez Canal, heads to South KoreaVessel loaded at Saudi Arabia's Yanbu port opts for northern Red Sea route Shipping firm, charterer choose Suez Canal over Bab el-Mandeb Strait A South Korean vessel loaded with crude oil at Saudi Arabia's Yanbu port has transited the Suez…
- Maersk says another container shipping service will resume Suez sailingsMonday, 2 November 2026 | Global Edition Maersk and Hapag‑Lloyd will resume the ME1 India–Europe container service via the Suez Canal, restoring use of the trans‑Suez shortcut and improving efficiency, while emphasizing continued vigilance…
- CAF Women’s Champions League: Schedule unveiled, kick-off on November 1The final phase will take place in Egypt until November 15. The last spot, contested between Edo Queens and Ampem Darkoa, remains to be determined. CAF announced the schedule for the 2026 Women’s Champions League on Tuesday, October 27…
- Egypt World Bank Deal Brings US$1 BillionEgypt signed a US$1 billion financing agreement with the World Bank on Sunday 1 November, the government said. The Egypt World Bank deal is the second of three loans the bank has lined up for Egypt’s reform plan. The cash arrives as Egypt…
- Noatum Logistics Accelerates GCC Growth by Doubling Its Trucking Fleet to Over 850 UnitsDelivered in batches over the past six months, the new fuel-efficient units meet the Euro 5 emissions standard and have been fully integrated into Noatum Logistics’ regional operations. The company now operates one of the largest and most…
- EMDAD Unveils New Identity as NMDC Emdad, Marking its Next Chapter of Growth and Integrated ExcellenceEMDAD, a leading integrated service provider for the energy, utilities, and industrial sectors, has announced its official rebranding to NMDC Emdad. This milestone marks the next phase in the company’s evolution, following its acquisition…
- The Week in Charts: Premier Alliance adds more Suez services as Red Sea return accelerates | Oil from ‘significant spill’ washes up on UAE beachesLloyd’s List’s weekly showing of the data and figures behind our news, analysis and markets coverage PREMIER Alliance will route two more Asia-Mediterranean services through the Suez Canal from November, further accelerating the container…
- 2026 Abu Dhabi Maritime Awards Receives Record 132 Submissions, Underlining Regional Industry Strength and Awards’ Rising InfluenceThe awards have averaged 51% year-over-year growth since their 2023 baseline, with participation more than tripling as industry engagement continues to accelerate. In addition, winners of the “individual-based” Abu Dhabi Maritime Awards…
- Suez Crisis and Hungarian Revolution 1956Winfried Heinemann's analysis of the 1956 Suez Crisis and the Hungarian Revolution reveals the intricate interplay of military, economic, and political factors during this dual crisis. He explores its implications for NATO and Western…
- FUS Rabat and Lekié FF share points in goalless CAF Women's Champions League openerMorocco's FUS Rabat and Cameroon's Lekié Football Filles played out a goalless draw in the opening match of the CAF Women's Champions League Egypt 2026 on Sunday, leaving both clubs searching for their first victory in Group A. The two…
- U.S. Navy Assists Mariners Experiencing Engine Trouble in Arabian SeaARABIAN SEA (Nov. 1, 2026) - The U.S. Navy assisted five mariners aboard the Indian-flagged Motor Vessel (M/V) Mira, after the dhow experienced a power failure in the Arabian Sea, Oct. 31. Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS…
- Yemen: Rubio: Iranian Support Behind Houthi CapabilitiesSun, Nov, 01, 2026 Washington – US Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated that Iranian support, particularly direct support, enabled the Houthis to acquire their current capabilities, according to a post by the US Embassy in Yemen on the X…
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When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
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- Before Dec 1, 202745%▼ 1
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions