Brazil Presidential Election
>99%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva>99%▲ 78
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Who will be a part of the next government of Spain? (Before Jan 1, 2028)
The odds
85%People's Party
- People's Party85%
- Vox77%
- PSOE14%
- Frente Amplio9%
- Podemos8%
- United Left8%
- Comuns8%
- Más Madrid7%
- Republican Left of Catalonia5%
- EH Bildu5%
- Junts per Catalunya4%
- Basque Nationalist Party4%
How the odds have moved
People's Party: 85% on Oct 20, 85% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| People's Party | 85% | 81¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | ||
| Vox | 77% | 74¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 1.7K | |
| PSOE | 14% | 11¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | ||
| Frente Amplio | 9% | 5¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 2.4K | |
| Podemos | 8% | 4¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | ||
| United Left | 8% | 4¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | ||
| Comuns | 8% | 4¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | ||
| Más Madrid | 7% | 3¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | ||
| Republican Left of Catalonia | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | ||
| EH Bildu | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | ||
| Junts per Catalunya | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| Basque Nationalist Party | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Spain, People's Party
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Police strike protesters with batons as streets set ablaze in SpainPolice clashed with anti-far-right protesters in A Coruña on October 21st following a rally by Vox party leader Santiago Abascal. Police clashed with anti-far-right protesters in A Coruña on October 21st following a rally by Vox party… - PP and Vox Seek Pact to Block Sánchez’s Allies From Controlling Spain’s SenateFeijóo called it logical for Vox to stand down in Senate races it cannot win, but no deal is closed and lists are due on 26 October. Alberto Núñez Feijóo, leader of Spain's main opposition People's Party (PP), has promised to implement…
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Italy and Spain scrap border checks brought in after Ceuta crisis10/22/2026 7:00 AM EDT Italy and Spain will end their mutual border checks at airports and ports that were introduced in August after the migrant crisis in Ceuta. Italy’s Giorgia Meloni and Spain’s Pedro Sánchez reached an agreement… -
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Spain Princess Asturias AwardsBluefield Daily Telegraph Spain's King Felipe VI attends the Princess of Asturias Awards ceremony in Oviedo, northern Spain, Friday, Oct. 23, 2026. - Cities move in opposite directions on sanitary system sales - Bluefield man pleads guilty… -
Former Spanish PM: Defending Spain’s Border Is Madrid’s Duty, Not Morocco’sHome » Politics » Former Spanish PM: Defending Spain’s Border Is Madrid’s Duty, Not Morocco’s Former Spanish Prime Minister Felipe González. (Designed by MWN team) Marrakech – Former Spanish Prime Minister Felipe González has drawn a clear… -
Enrique Arias Gil: The Spanish «Edward Snowden» Defending Spain from MoscowOriginal article: Enrique Arias Gil, el «Edward Snowden español»: «Seguir luchando por España desde Moscú» Once a respected analyst within Spain’s Ministry of Defense, Enrique Arias Gil has become one of Europol’s most wanted individuals… -
Spain Court Orders Names of 163,000 VotersThis story is part of our coverage of the Spain Election 2026. Dates, times and how to follow it are in our guide. Latest: Spain's Right Eyes Senate Deal Before Vote Spain’s Supreme Court has given two government ministers until Wednesday…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions