Brazil Presidential Election
50%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro50%▼ 33
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva50%▲ 34
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Spanish general election: 2nd place (Nov 29, 2026)
The odds
81%PSOE
- PSOE81%▲ 3
- People's Party15%
- Vox4%
How the odds have moved
PSOE: 80% on Oct 19, 81% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSOE | 81% | ▲ 3 | 79¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 329 |
| People's Party | 15% | 12¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 1.4K | |
| Vox | 4% | 3¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 490 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: People's Party
Search ›- Danish People's Party seeks to strike Pakistani man from citizenship billDansk Folkeparti (DF), the Danish People’s Party, wants a Pakistani man removed from a bill that would grant Danish citizenship to 2,055 foreign nationals next year. The party’s citizenship spokesperson, Mikkel Bjørn, cited a Facebook post…
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Spain accuses Trump ally Milei of ‘disgraceful’ election interferenceSpain's government has become embroiled in a dispute with Argentinian President Javier Milei after the latter accused Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez of being a "dictator" while endorsing his right-wing political rivals. Speaking at an event… -
Meghalaya Speaker Recognizes Merger of Three UDP MLAs with Ruling NPP, Opposition Shrinks FurtherShillong, October 23: Meghalaya Assembly Speaker Thomas A. Sangma on Friday officially recognized the merger of three United Democratic ... - Latest News. Find Breaking Headlines, Current and Latest national news at Lokmattimes.com… -
Siang Dam: What is behind protest in Arunachal Pradesh against the 11,200 MW hydroelectric project? All you need to knowAt least 40 security personnel have been injured in clashes with protesters opposed to the Siang Upper Multipurpose Project (SUMP) in Arunachal Pradesh on Friday night, officials have claimed. According to the police, the protesters have… -
2027: Chekwas Okorie warns against gerontocracy, backs ObiSunday, October 25, 2026 25 October 2026 2:30 am WAT From Okwe Obi, Abuja Okorie, founder of the Igbo Agenda Dialogue (IAD), said the group’s decision followed an assessment of the leading presidential contenders’ records, public service… -
Meghalaya Speaker Recognises 3 UDP MLAs' Merger With Conrad Sangma's PartyThe three MLAs - Paul Lyngdoh of West Shillong, Renikton Lyngdoh Tongkhar of Mawkyrwat and Nujorki Sungoh of Mowkaiaw - will now occupy seats in the Meghalaya Legislative Assembly as NPP members, following the Speaker's order issued on… -
India-China face-off in Arunachal still going on, claims ITBP DG; Rahul Gandhi questions PM ModiITBP DG Shatrujeet Kapur confirmed ongoing face-offs with Chinese troops in Arunachal Pradesh, after which Congress questioned PM Modi's silence on the border issue. Updated : Oct 23, 2026, 12:36 PM IST Rahul Gandhi has criticised Prime… - PP and Vox Seek Pact to Block Sánchez’s Allies From Controlling Spain’s SenateFeijóo called it logical for Vox to stand down in Senate races it cannot win, but no deal is closed and lists are due on 26 October. Alberto Núñez Feijóo, leader of Spain's main opposition People's Party (PP), has promised to implement…
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Oleshky Evacuation: Russia Announces Kherson Frontline ‘Silence Regime’Chief of the Russian General Staff Valery Gerasimov announced Moscow will halt fire along the Kherson frontline in what it described as a “silence regime” to allow a humanitarian operation in the Russian-occupied city of Oleshky, starting… -
Aseefa Bhutto, Abdul Qadir Patel mock 5G rollout over slow internet in PakistanISLAMABAD: Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP) leader Aseefa Bhutto Zardari and Abdul Qadir Patel took a dig at the government’s 5G rollout plans during a National Assembly session, questioning the poor state of internet services across the… -
Expert: Estonian party ratings could shift as election campaigning ramps upThe Center Party and Social Democrats topped Emor's October poll as long-time leader Isamaa slipped, with voters' party loyalties still far from firm, said expert Aivar Voog. Voog, a polling expert at Emor, told ERR on Friday that party…
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100%Student List – Students Win
- Student List – Students Win100%▲ 72
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- Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!<1%
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Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
45%Lula da Silva <4%
- Lula da Silva <4%45%▲ 32
- Flávio Bolsonaro <4%39%▲ 5
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Brazil Presidential election winner?
59%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva59%▲ 40
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Israeli Legislative Election Winner
68%Yashar
- Yashar68%▼ 3
- Likud31%▲ 3
- Together<1%
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Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
21%Ilija Srdanović
- Ilija Srdanović21%▲ 12
- Aleksandar Vučić<1%▼ 69
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions