Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)
189.5median
140230
Median 189.5Middle half 176.7 – 200.8
Install
Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?
The odds
9%New Zealand
- New Zealand9%
- Finland7%
- Italy6%
- The Netherlands6%
- USA6%▼ 1
- Greece6%
- Switzerland5%
- Germany5%
- Austria5%
- South Korea5%
- Panama5%
- Singapore3%
1 more
- Japan3%
How the odds have moved
New Zealand: 9% on Oct 20, 9% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Zealand | 9% | 8¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 10.1K | |
| Finland | 7% | 4¢ | 10¢ | $10.53 | 10.5K | |
| Italy | 6% | 4¢ | 9¢ | $11.36 | 14.4K | |
| The Netherlands | 6% | 3¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 6.0K | |
| USA | 6% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | 9¢ | $11.76 | 7.0K |
| Greece | 6% | 3¢ | 9¢ | $11.63 | 7.3K | |
| Switzerland | 5% | 1¢ | 9¢ | $10.64 | 6.9K | |
| Germany | 5% | 3¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 6.6K | |
| Austria | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.49 | 8.8K | |
| South Korea | 5% | 1¢ | 8¢ | $12.66 | 484 | |
| Panama | 5% | 1¢ | 8¢ | $12.66 | 6.7K | |
| Singapore | 3% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $17.86 | 946 | |
| Japan | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 15.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Palestine, New Zealand
Search ›-
Man jailed over plot to smuggle drugs inside rope to New ZealandGavin Smith was jailed for six years and nine months after he was caught planning to smuggle drugs from Wales to New Zealand A man living in a caravan conspired with a mysterious contact, known only as 'The Baron', to ship kilos of cocaine… -
New Zealand's military chief resigns after admitting to an inappropriate relationshipBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. New Zealand’s military… -
New Zealand’s military chief Tony Davies resigns after admitting to an inappropriate relationshipThe chief of New Zealand’s military, Air Marshal Tony Davies, resigned Friday after admitting to an inappropriate relationship as a unit leader. “I regret not disclosing this when I had the opportunity to do so,” Davies said in his… - Vaibhav Sooryavanshi score today for New Zealand vs. India 2nd T20I in ChristchurchVaibhav Sooryavanshi may finally get a chance in India's playing XI for the second T20I against New Zealand at Hagley Oval in Christchurch. The teenager has been left out of six consecutive T20 internationals, and he also sat out the…
- New Zealand A vs India A 1st unofficial Test: Scores, key highlights as KL Rahul, Sai Sudharsan fall for 8, 13-ball ducksCaptains: Rhys Mariu (New Zealand), Dhruv Jurel (India) Toss result: New Zealand A have won the toss and have opted to field. Live Telecast: Sony Sports Network and SonyLIV (India), Sky Sport (New Zealand) Player of the Match: TBD Welcome…
- Where to watch New Zealand vs. India live stream, TV channel, start time and lineups for 2nd T20I in ChristchurchIndia and New Zealand meet again in the second match of the five-match T20I series at Hagley Oval in Christchurch on Saturday, October 24. The visitors began the series with a thrilling win and will now try to move 2-0 ahead. New Zealand…
- New Zealand vs India 2nd T20I prediction, lineups and Hagley Oval pitch report — who will win?Batting well was not the issue for New Zealand in Christchurch. Phillips and Allen scored heavily, and the hosts still lost. Now they welcome India back to Hagley Oval for the second T20I on Saturday 24 October, needing a win to level the…
- Christchurch weather forecast for New Zealand vs. India: Chances of rain, average temperature for NZ vs. IND 2nd T20INew Zealand host India in the second T20I at Hagley Oval on Saturday, trailing 1-0 in the five-match series after a four-wicket defeat. Glenn Phillips struck an unbeaten 82 off 40 balls and Finn Allen added 45 from 24, yet Sanju Samson's…
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Cricket match squads - Australia Women vs New Zealand Women, 1st T20I, New Zealand Women tour of Australia, 2026, New Zealand Women tour of Australia, 2026Cricket match squads | AUSW vs NZW, 1st T20I, New Zealand Women tour of Australia, 2026 Cricbuzz Australia Women vs New Zealand Women, 1st T20I, New Zealand Women tour of Australia, 2026 - SquadsAUSW vs NZW, 1st T20I, New Zealand Women… -
India tour of New Zealand - T20 -Today Match India tour of New Zealand - T20 Live Scorecard, New Zealand vs India T20 Cricket full Scorecard with ball by ball commentary from Hagley Oval, Christchurch on 07:00 with Toss, Preview, Head to Head Updates, Playing 11 with… -
New Zealand Geographic photographer of the year competition 2026 – in picturesThe Guardian Highly commended – aerial Highly commended – portrait Highly commended – wildlife Highly commended – adventure More on this story After 25 years, Australian dance star Lucy Guerin bows out of the company she founded Kylie…
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All world leaders ›Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)
296.9median
250340
Median 296.9Middle half 284.1 – 308.3
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Mar 2, 2028even chance by
- Before Nov 1, 20261%▼ 1
- Before Dec 1, 20266%▲ 1
- Before Jan 1, 20278%
14 more
- Before Feb 1, 20278%▼ 2
- Before Mar 1, 202713%▼ 1
- Before Apr 1, 202717%▼ 1
- Before May 1, 202720%▼ 1
- Before Jun 1, 202725%
- Before Jul 1, 202733%▲ 2
- Before Aug 1, 202733%
- Before Sep 1, 202734%▼ 1
- Before Oct 1, 202737%
- Before Nov 1, 202741%
- Before Dec 1, 202741%
- Before Jan 1, 202847%▼ 2
- Before Jul 1, 202857%▲ 2
- Before Jan 1, 202960%
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)
193.0median
160230
Median 193.0Middle half 186.7 – 202.7
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
296.6median
250340
Median 296.6Middle half 289.4 – 306.9
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
197.1median
160230
Median 197.1Middle half 189.4 – 202.6
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions