How many Pennsylvania mail ballots will be requested? (As of Nov 4, 2026)

Kalshi Elections Closes Nov 4 · $23 today · $814 traded · $803 at stake · prices read 9 h ago

The odds

1.33Mmedian
1.15M1.80M
Median 1.33MMiddle half 1.30M – 1.45M

How the odds have moved

Median: 1.32M on Oct 19, 1.33M now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
At least 1.2 million 96% 92¢ 99¢ $1.01 2.00
At least 1.25 million 93% 89¢ 97¢ $1.03 529
At least 1.3 million 76% ▼ 1 71¢ 81¢ $1.23 22.00
At least 1.35 million 34% ▼ 3 29¢ 39¢ $2.56
At least 1.4 million 29% ▼ 3 25¢ 33¢ $3.03 436
At least 1.45 million 25% ▼ 4 21¢ 29¢ $3.45 234
At least 1.5 million 22% ▼ 3 18¢ 25¢ $4.00 524
At least 1.6 million 20% ▼ 1 15¢ 25¢ $4.00 24.00
At least 1.7 million 16% ▼ 1 11¢ 21¢ $4.76 10.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Pennsylvania

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions