Oshawa mayoral election winner? (October 26, 2026)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Oct 26, 2027 · $142 today · $924 traded · $672 at stake · prices read 21 min ago

The odds

60%Tito-Dante Marimpietri

Tito-Dante Marimpietri60%▼ 2
Derek Giberson18%▲ 1
Jim Lee7%▲ 1
Henry Onwuachu3%
Dave Westlake3%
Jeremy Large3%
Michael Coons2%
Joseph Tomlins2%
Sherland Chhangur2%

How the odds have moved

Tito-Dante Marimpietri: 72% on Oct 19, 60% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

Oct 24, 3 PM ETTito-Dante Marimpietri: 67% → 62%
- Oshawa: Get to know your ward before you voteDurham College · 46 h ago

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Tito-Dante Marimpietri	60%	▼ 2	60¢	68¢	$1.47	1.3K
Derek Giberson	18%	▲ 1	15¢	23¢	$4.35	342
Jim Lee	7%	▲ 1	3¢	12¢	$8.33
Henry Onwuachu	3%			7¢	$14.29
Dave Westlake	3%			6¢	$16.67
Jeremy Large	3%			6¢	$16.67
Michael Coons	2%			5¢	$20.00
Joseph Tomlins	2%			5¢	$20.00
Sherland Chhangur	2%			5¢	$20.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Oshawa, Tito-Dante Marimpietri, Derek Giberson

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Oshawa: Get to know your ward before you voteDurham College · 46 h agoGet the best offers and updates relating to Liberty Case News. The Chronicle’s second-year Journalism – Mass Media and Journalism and Creative Writing students wrote profiles of Oshawa’s wards to help voters understand their neighbourhoods…
This Week in Pennsylvania: What the polls are saying before Election DayYahoo News · 34 h ago(WHTM) - Pollster Jim Lee of Susquehanna Polling & Research joins This Week in Pennsylvania to discuss the local races that could determine the balance of power in Harrisburg and Washington, D.C. Check your local listings for weekly air…
Pollster says environment 'toxic' for Republicans ahead of legislative electionsOn Pattison · 3 days ago(The Center Square) – Republicans who want to keep at least one leg of Harrisburg’s three-legged governance stool have a “block out the noise” attitude in an election campaign where some think Democrats could grab all three: the Senate…
News of the day: Daycare worker, 5 kids hit by car in Oshawa, and moreToronto Sun · 5 days agoParents of children at an Oshawa daycare were no doubt terrified to learn five kids under three years old were hit by a car while out for a stroll with a daycare worker Wednesday morning. A political candidate is offering conflicting…
What do Oshawa’s mayoral candidates propose to address homelessness?DurhamRegion.com · 7 days agoSeven out of nine mayoral candidates answered our questions. Nine candidates are vying for the title of mayor this year. Oshawa will soon be electing a new mayor, with municipal elections taking place across Ontario Oct. 26. With nine…
Durham police say downtown Oshawa is improving. Here’s what mayoral candidates have to sayCBC · 9 days agoAs downtown Oshawa becomes a key issue in the city’s municipal election, Durham Region police say targeted enforcement and engagement has helped improve safety in the city’s core — but mayoral candidates have mixed views. Downtown Oshawa…
In case you missed it: Oshawa’s mayoral debate in quotesDurhamRegion.com · 10 days agoSix of Oshawa’s mayoral candidates debated at the Bond St. Event Centre last week. Dave Westlake, right, speaks at the Oshawa mayoral debate. Six out of Oshawa’s nine mayoral candidates came together for a debate at the Bond St. Event…
Oshawa's growing homeless and addiction crisis takes centre stage in mayoral raceCBC · 8 days agoDowntown Oshawa is facing an unprecedented convergence of homelessness, mental health struggles, and a toxic drug supply — making frontline care and public safety defining issues in the upcoming municipal election, according to harm…
Oshawa’s addiction crisis: 3 experts with solutions for the next mayorCBC · 8 days agoCBC Oshawaâs addiction crisis: 3 experts with solutions for the next mayor Three people working on the front lines of Oshawaâs struggles with homelessness and addiction describe what they see every day, and what they need from the…
Voting open in Oshawa and Uxbridge for municipal electionDurham Radio News · 13 days agoIf you live in Oshawa or Uxbridge, you can now start voting in the municipal election. Both municipalities offer online voting from now until the polls close October 26 at 8 p.m. They also both offer voter assistance centres for those who…
What do Oshawa’s mayoral candidates propose to clean up the downtown core?DurhamRegion.com · 13 days ago7 out of the 9 candidates weigh in Nine candidates are vying for the mayor’s office in Oshawa this year. Oshawa will be electing a new mayor in a few weeks, with municipal elections taking place across Ontario on Oct. 26. With nine…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onCity of Oshawa Clerk

Trading closesOct 26, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$924 (1,684 contracts)

Today$142

This week$205

At stake$672

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Tito-Dante Marimpietri wins the 2026 Oshawa, Ontario mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions