Ohio Supreme Court: Hawkins seat winner? (2026)

Kalshi Elections Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $861 traded · $223 at stake · prices read 6 h ago

The odds

77%Dan Hawkins

Dan Hawkins77%▼ 1
Marilyn Zayas22%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Dan Hawkins: 76% on Oct 19, 77% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Dan Hawkins	77%	▼ 1	74¢	79¢	$1.27	522
Marilyn Zayas	22%	▼ 1	19¢	25¢	$4.00	2.1K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Supreme Court, Ohio Supreme Court, Hawkins

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Supreme Court of the United States news - Today’s latest updatesCBS News · 2 days agoThe Supreme Court cleared the way Thursday for New Hampshire to fully ban the use of student IDs for voting during the midterm elections. The Supreme Court has rejected an effort from the Trump administration to restrict some medical…
Second Amendment fight moves beyond guns with Supreme Court poised for big rulingFox News · 46 h agoNational Association for Gun Rights President Dudley Brown says the AR-15 ban before the Supreme Court could shape challenges to restrictions on automatic knives, body armor, magazines and other defensive equipment. Two federal court…
Kamala Harris: We can’t count on the Supreme CourtFox News · 3 days agoFox News contributor Marc Thiessen discusses former Vice President Kamala Harris’ comments about the Supreme Court on ‘Fox & Friends.’ ... Kamala Harris: We can’t count on the Supreme Court Fox News contributor Marc Thiessen discusses…
US supreme court sides with Republicans on rejecting student IDs in New Hampshire midtermsthe Guardian · 3 days agoVoting rights advocates say directive would disenfranchise young and low-income voters, but Republicans say it’s needed to combat voter fraud The US supreme court has cleared the way for New Hampshire to prohibit student IDs as a form of…
Supreme Court blocks use of student IDs as voter identification in New HampshireFox News · 4 days agoFirst Assistant U.S. Attorney Bill Essayli examines the growing dispute over voter eligibility verification in California. Los Angeles County election officials acknowledge they lack the resources to verify the citizenship status of…
Jackson again publicly breaks with Supreme Court as justices side with GOP in last-minute voter ID fightFox News · 3 days agoFirst Assistant U.S. Attorney Bill Essayli examines the growing dispute over voter eligibility verification in California. Los Angeles County election officials acknowledge they lack the resources to verify the citizenship status of…
Ohio Supreme Court rejects data center site plan reviewState Affairs · 6 days agoState Affairs Pro Share with your team Guests can view 10 articles for free
1-on-1 with (R) Dan Hawkins, Kansas Insurance Commissioner candidate@kctv5 · 5 days agoDan Hawkins, the Republican candidate for Kansas Insurance Commissioner, spoke with KCTV5 sister station WIBW in Topeka ahead of the November general election. KANSAS CITY, Mo. (KCTV) - Dan Hawkins, the Republican candidate for Kansas…
Trump administration asks Supreme Court to resume Big Bend border wallCBS News · 4 days agoCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Trump administration asks…
Supreme Court rules New Hampshire can ban use of student IDs for midterm votersCBS News · 4 days agoOctober 22, 2026 / 7:53 PM EDT / CBS/AP The Supreme Court cleared the way Thursday for New Hampshire to fully ban the use of student IDs for voting during the midterm elections. The justices granted a Republican-backed emergency appeal and…
Supreme Court says New Hampshire can limit use of student IDs for votingCNN · 4 days agoThe Supreme Court on Thursday allowed New Hampshire officials to limit when voters may use a student ID to receive a ballot, agreeing that a lower court ruling that blocked enforcement of the policy was too close to Election Day. The…
Supreme Court justice turns on her own court with dire warning about American democracyFox News · 4 days agoAmericans interviewed on Capitol Hill were split over whether the Supreme Court of the United States should expand as Congress introduces proposals to make reforms to its current size. (Nicholas Ballasy for Fox News Digital) Supreme Court…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onOhio Secretary of State

Trading closesNov 3, 2027 11:00 AM ET

Traded$861 (2,622 contracts)

At stake$223

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Dan Hawkins wins the 2026 Ohio Supreme Court election for the full term commencing January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions