Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)
189.5median
140230
Median 189.5Middle half 176.6 – 200.8
Install
Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum? (Before 2030)
The odds
14%chance▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 13% on Oct 19, 14% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 14% | ▲ 1 | 11¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 4.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Northern Ireland
Search ›-
Storm Boelo: warnings in place in Scotland, Northern Ireland and north of England as high winds batter UKMet Office reports gusts of 80mph in exposed coastal spots and advises people in affected areas to stay indoors Strong winds have battered Scotland, Northern Ireland and northern England overnight, as Storm Boelo hit the UK. It was the… -
BBC Sport NI right on cue at Northern Ireland OpenBBC Sport NI's Jana McCabe and Joel Bell visit the Waterfront Hall to try out snooker at the Northern Ireland Open. BBC Sport NI right on cue at Northern Ireland Open. Video, 00:01:39BBC Sport NI right on cue at Northern Ireland Open John… -
Mapped: The most affordable place in Northern Ireland to buy a homeHouse prices in Northern Ireland continue to rise(Image: Andrew Matthews/PA Wire) The most affordable places to buy a home in Northern Ireland have been revealed, with Mid and East Antrim leading the way. It cost £177,000 to buy the… -
Former president of Athletics Northern Ireland denies child sex offencesA former president of Athletics Northern Ireland has pleaded not guilty to two child sex offences, including engaging in sexual activity with a child and sexual touching of a child. Gerry Carson, 84, from Kingsway, Dunmurry in County… -
10 key cases from Northern Ireland courts this weekCases heard before courts in Northern Ireland this week included a Co Tyrone man admitting charges connected to a hoax bomb left outside a police station. A 27-year-old man who subjected his wife to a month-long campaign of domestic abuse… -
Why Irish could be ‘at risk’ with proposed changes to Northern Ireland’s curriculumA language researcher and academic has warned that proposed changes to Northern Ireland’s curriculum could put Irish “at risk” in schools if they were to go ahead. An updated curriculum is due to come into effect from 2028 as part of… -
Northern Ireland Open snooker 2026 LIVE RESULTS: Kyren Wilson THRASHES Jak Jones to clinch £100k jackpot – updatesKYREN WILSON has thrashed Jak Jones 9-2 to win the Northern Ireland Open for a second time. The Warrior wins his 11th ranking title in Belfast and leaves with the Alex Higgins trophy and the £100k jackpot. Wilson made three centuries… -
Storm Boelo: Thousands of homes without power and traffic disruption as high winds batter Northern IrelandThousands of homes are without power and motorists are being urged to take extra care on Northern Ireland’s roads on Sunday as Storm Boelo continues to bring strong winds and disruption across the region. The first named storm of the… -
Billionaire Golfer Tiger Woods Reportedly Set to Design £30 Million Northern Ireland LinksGalgorm unveiled its plans in July 2025. According to the company, construction would begin in 2026, subject to planning approval, and the course would open in 2029. Galgorm says its total investment in Northern Ireland’s north-west… -
Storm Boelo: Amber Weather Warnings Across Scotland, Northern Ireland and Northern England — Check Affected Areas, Travel Disruptions & Latest ForecastThe strongest winds have affected Scotland, Northern Ireland and northern England, with wider yellow wind warnings extending into other parts of England and North Wales. – Scotland: Strong winds across much of the mainland, the Western… -
‘No mercy’ – Referee orders spectator thrown out of Northern Ireland Open final as Kyren Wilson claims victoryA SNOOKER fan was thrown out of the Northern Ireland Open final after his phone disrupted play. Kyren Wilson and Jak Jones were contesting the showdown at Waterfront Hall when referee Rob Spencer heard repeated noises from the spectator’s… -
Jak Jones completes semi-final line-up at Northern Ireland OpenJak Jones came through a final frame decider to book his spot in the semi-finals of the Northern Ireland Open. Jak Jones came through a final frame decider to book his spot in the semi-finals of the Northern Ireland Open A break of 84 in…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions