When will NCAA settlement back-pay payments begin? (Before Jan 1, 2029)

Kalshi Politics › Supreme Court & courts Closes Dec 31, 2028 · $478 traded · $300 at stake · prices read 8 h ago

The odds

50%Before Jan 1, 2029
  • Before Jan 1, 202821%
  • Before Jan 1, 202950%

How the odds have moved

Before Jan 1, 2028: 22% on Oct 19, 21% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Before Jan 1, 2028 21% 18¢ 24¢ $4.17 1.7K
Before Jan 1, 2029 50% 46¢ 54¢ $1.85 229

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: NCAA

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Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

42%Ilhan Omar
  • Ilhan Omar42%▼ 3
  • Cassidy Hutchinson29%▼ 4
  • John Brennan22%
40 more
  • Dan J. Sullivan17%▼ 1
  • Anthony Fauci14%
  • Fani Willis14%
  • Jack Smith11%▼ 2
  • Gustavo Petro11%▼ 1
  • Lisa Cook10%▼ 1
  • Tim Walz10%
  • James Clapper10%
  • Andrew Weissmann10%
  • Gavin Newsom10%
  • Peter Strzok9%▼ 1
  • Hunter Biden9%
  • Keith Ellison9%
  • Adam Schiff9%
  • Jennifer Siebel Newsom9%▲ 3
  • Chris Krebs8%
  • Miles Taylor7%▲ 1
  • Lisa Monaco7%
  • Kimberly Guilfoyle7%
  • Letitia James6%▼ 4
  • Alvin Bragg6%▲ 2
  • Jacob Frey6%▲ 1
  • Mark Milley6%
  • Elissa Slotkin6%
  • Mark Kelly6%
  • Liz Cheney6%
  • Joe Kent6%▲ 1
  • Leon Black6%
  • E. Jean Carroll6%
  • Christopher Wray5%
  • Chris Christie5%
  • Tucker Carlson5%
  • Reid Hoffman5%▲ 1
  • George Soros5%
  • Pam Bondi4%
  • Jerome Powell4%
  • Hillary Clinton4%▼ 1
  • Bill Clinton3%▼ 1
  • Barack Obama3%
  • Joe Biden3%
KalshiCloses Dec 31 · $6K today

Who will be arrested in 2026?

34%Ilhan Omar
  • Ilhan Omar34%▼ 7
  • John Brennan23%▲ 1
  • Mahmoud Khalil14%▲ 1
22 more
  • Anthony Fauci9%
  • Tom Homan9%▲ 3
  • James Clapper8%▼ 2
  • Letitia James8%
  • Adam Schiff7%
  • Lee Jae Myung6%▼ 1
  • Susan Rice6%
  • Lisa Cook6%
  • Candace Owens5%
  • Benjamin Netanyahu5%
  • Lee Jun-seok5%
  • Loretta Lynch4%
  • José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero4%
  • Hillary Clinton4%
  • Bill Clinton4%
  • Pam Bondi4%
  • Gavin Newsom3%▲ 1
  • John Kerry3%
  • Brandon Johnson3%
  • Barack Obama3%
  • Joe Biden3%
  • Kash Patel3%
KalshiCloses Dec 31 · $841 today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.