Brazil Presidential Election
74%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro74%▼ 4
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva26%▲ 3
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Naples mayoral election winner? (2027)
The odds
80%Center-left
- Center-left80%
- Center-right12%
- M5S5%
How the odds have moved
Center-left: 80% on Oct 19, 80% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Center-left | 80% | 76¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | ||
| Center-right | 12% | 8¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | ||
| M5S | 5% | 1¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Naples
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Related markets
All around the world ›Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
40%Flávio Bolsonaro <4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro <4%40%
- Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%31%▼ 1
- Lula da Silva <4%21%▲ 2
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- Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%6%
- Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+1%
- Lula da Silva 4-8%1%
- Lula da Silva 8-12%<1%
- Lula da Silva 12%+<1%
Brazil Presidential election winner?
76%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro76%▼ 3
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva25%▲ 3
Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
70%Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia
- Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia70%
- Student List – Students Win29%
- Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!<1%
7 more
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- Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor<1%
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Next Prime Minister of Romania?
>99%Luca Niculescu
- Luca Niculescu>99%▲ 5
- Mugur Isărescu<1%
- Mircea Geoană<1%
35 more
- Anca Dragu<1%
- Lucian Isar<1%
- Cătălin Predoiu<1%
- Sorin Grindeanu<1%
- George Simion<1%
- Ilie Bolojan<1%
- Marcel Ciolacu<1%
- Alexandru Rafila<1%
- Sebastian Burduja<1%
- Ionuț Dumitru<1%
- Elena Lasconi<1%
- Cătălin Drulă<1%
- Vasile Dîncu<1%
- Dacian Cioloș<1%
- Emil Boc<1%
- Dominic Fritz<1%
- Raluca Turcan<1%
- Lucian Croitoru<1%
- Delia Velculescu<1%
- Nicolae Ciucă<1%
- Hunor Kelemen<1%
- Calin Georgescu<1%
- Radu Burnete<1%
- Șerban Matei<1%
- Alexandru Nazare<1%
- Alexandru Rogobete<1%
- Dragoș Pîslaru<1%
- Traian Basescu<1%
- Dan Motreanu<1%
- Victor Ponta<1%
- Ciprian Ciucu<1%
- Eugen Tomac<1%
- Siegfried Mureșan<1%
- Adrian Veștea<1%
- Leonardo Badea<1%
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
68%Aleksandar Vučić
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7 more
- Ivica Dačić<1%
- Ana Brnabić<1%
- Stefan Krkobabić<1%▼ 1
- Miloš Vučević<1%
- Đuro Macut<1%
- Branimir Jovanović<1%
- Dragan Đilas<1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.