Will Milo Yiannopoulos visit the United States? (Before January 2027)

Kalshi Politics › World leaders Closes Jan 1, 2027 · prices read 4 h ago

The odds

6%Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Nov 1, 20263%
Before Jan 1, 20276%

How the odds have moved

Before Nov 1, 2026: 3% on Oct 19, 3% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Before Nov 1, 2026	3%			5¢	$20.00
Before Jan 1, 2027	6%		2¢	9¢	$11.11

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Milo Yiannopoulos

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More than 300,000 US visas revoked during second term, says Trump administrationThe Irish Times · 5 days agoPresident Donald Trump’s administration has ‌revoked more than 300,000 US visas during his second term, the State Department said on Tuesday, ‌as the federal government continues its sweeping immigration crackdown. The number shows an…
Kanye West Ordered To Pay Additional $181K in Lawsuit Tied to Gut Renovation of Former Malibu Mansion@realtordotcom · 11 days agoKanye West has been ordered to pay an additional $181,433 following a lawsuit tied to the gut renovation of his former Malibu beach house, resulting in a $321,000 total award. According to Rolling Stone, a Los Angeles County Superior Court…
Ye Must Now Pay Over $300,000 to Construction Worker Injured During Malibu Mansion BuildBillboard · 12 days agoA judge more than doubled the award for construction manager Tony Saxon, tacking $181,000 in legal fees and costs on top of his March jury verdict. A construction manager’s $140,000 trial verdict against Ye (formerly Kanye West) has now…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onthe Associated Press, Reuters, The New York Times

Trading closesJan 1, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$0 (0 contracts)

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If, after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, Milo Yiannopoulos visits the United States of America by physically travelling to and being present within its geographic boundaries, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions