Alaska Governor margin of victory
6.40median
-117
Median 6.40
Install
California's 37th District margin of victory (2026)
The odds
26.2median
055
Median 26.2Middle half 21.5 – 31.3
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 5+ pts | 93% | ▼ 1 | 92¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 104 |
| Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 10+ pts | 90% | 90¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | 5.00 | |
| Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 15+ pts | 85% | 86¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 55.00 | |
| Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 20+ pts | 85% | ▲ 4 | 82¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | 55.00 |
| Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 22+ pts | 72% | ▼ 5 | 68¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 55.00 |
| Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 25+ pts | 56% | ▼ 2 | 52¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | |
| Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 35+ pts | 7% | 1¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 200 | |
| Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 40+ pts | 4% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.93 | 200 |
| Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 45+ pts | 4% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 7¢ | $15.38 | 50.00 |
| Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 50+ pts | 4% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 6¢ | $15.63 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: California
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Related markets
All elections ›Alaska Governor margin of victory
11%Republicans, 2+ pts
-622
California Governor margin of victory
22.9median
639
Median 22.9Middle half 19.2 – 27.3
Kansas Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)
33%Hamilton, 1+ pts
-111
Michigan Governor margin of victory
9.67median
-123
Median 9.67Middle half 5.19 – 14
Michigan Governor margin of victory
5%Republicans, 1+ pts
-27
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.