Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
3.34median
-123
Median 3.34
Install
California Governor margin of victory
The odds
22.1median
639
Median 22.1Middle half 16.7 – 27.8
How the odds have moved
Median: 22.8 on Oct 20, 22.1 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrats, 9+ pts | 94% | ▼ 1 | 90¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 3.0K |
| Democrats, 12+ pts | 90% | ▼ 2 | 86¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 1.8K |
| Democrats, 15+ pts | 81% | ▼ 8 | 80¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 6.8K |
| Democrats, 18+ pts | 71% | ▼ 2 | 67¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | 1.7K |
| Democrats, 21+ pts | 56% | ▲ 6 | 52¢ | 59¢ | $1.69 | 2.7K |
| Democrats, 24+ pts | 40% | ▼ 1 | 37¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | 1.4K |
| Democrats, 27+ pts | 28% | ▼ 2 | 24¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 736 |
| Democrats, 30+ pts | 16% | ▼ 2 | 12¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 528 |
| Democrats, 33+ pts | 9% | ▼ 2 | 4¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 88.00 |
| Democrats, 36+ pts | 5% | 1¢ | 9¢ | $11.24 | 172 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: California Governor
Search ›-
New poll shows gap stretching in California governor race — with just two weeks to goXavier Becerra has stretched his lead over Steve Hilton in the California governor’s race, according to a new poll. The Emerson College survey of 1,000 likely voters, conducted Oct. 17-19, shows the Democrat at 60% support compared to 33%… -
Becerra, Hilton campaign for California governor in Bay Area 2 weeks out from Election DayCBS News Becerra, Hilton campaign for California governor in Bay Area 2 weeks out from Election Day Tuesday evening First Alert weather forecast - 10/20/26 Oakland considers raising nuisance property fines to $10,000 a day San Mateo County… -
Will candidates for California governor fix deadly addiction treatment system?Over the nearly eight years of his term, Gov. Gavin Newsom has been too busy to engage with us on the fraud, abuse and death rife in California’s private-pay addiction treatment industry. He could have transformed it with a wave of his… -
Becerra Dominates Hilton in Recent Poll for California Governor RaceDemocrat Xavier Becerra beats Steve Hilton by 27 points as governor race rapidly approaches • 8 hours ago 60% of the voters polled are leaning toward Becerra while 33% will vote for Hilton. Seven percent are undecided. When undecided… -
California Governor Appoints Members to National Housing CouncilMs. Keesmaat was named one of the "most powerful people in Canada" by Macleans, one of the "most influential" by Toronto Life, and one of the top Women of Influence in Canada. She spent half a decade as Toronto's Chief City Planner, where… -
Steve Hilton makes his pitch to replace Gavin Newsom as California's governorKTVU Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Xavier Becerra go head to head in the California governor's race to replace Gavin Newsom. Hilton sat down for an interview to talk about how he plans to help Californians save money. -
Steve Hilton discusses the CA Governor's raceRepublican candidate for California Governor Steve Hilton discusses his campaign in the final days before the midterm elections. Steve Hilton discusses the CA Governor’s race Republican candidate for California Governor Steve Hilton… -
New poll shows Becerra with wide lead over Hilton in California governor raceWith less than two weeks before the election, Democrat Xavier Becerra has a commanding double-digit lead over Republican Steve Hilton in the race to become California’s 41st governor, according to a new Inside California Politics/Emerson… - Poll gives Becerra 27-point lead over Hilton in California governor raceVoters in the poll also placed their economic woes at the foot of President Donald Trump. (CN) — California Democrat Xavier Becerra grew his front-runner status in a Wednesday gubernatorial poll with a 27-point lead over his Republican…
- California governor election odds: Becerra's chances priced at 96% despite limited campaigningDemocrat Xavier Becerra has increased public appearances after maintaining a low profile during his campaign trail. Democrat Xavier Becerra maintains a commanding lead over Republican Steve Hilton in Kalshi's California gubernatorial…
-
Bombshell poll finds California voters say state is heading in the wrong direction — but election numbers tell a different storyDemocrat Xavier Becerra has opened up a commanding lead over Republican Steve Hilton in the race for California governor – despite Californians being so fed up with the direction of the Golden State that nearly half have seriously… -
Californians reveal their pick for Dem president — and it’s not Gavin NewsomCalifornia voters have revealed their top picks for the 2028 Democratic presidential primary — and Gov. Gavin Newsom didn’t even crack the top two, according to a new poll commissioned by the California Post. Golden State voters were asked…
Related markets
All governors ›Arkansas's 2nd District margin of victory
13%Jones, 1+ pts
-19
Florida's 9th District margin of victory
44%Green, 4+ pts
125
Florida's 14th District margin of victory
19%Beltran, 2+ pts
-111
Florida's 22nd District margin of victory
25%Askar, 2+ pts
-114
Florida's 25th District margin of victory
11%Singer, 1+ pts
-210
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions