Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
3.30median
-123
Median 3.30
Install
Michigan Governor margin of victory
The odds
6%Republicans, 1+ pts
-27
How the odds have moved
Republicans, 1+ pts: 5% on Oct 19, 6% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republicans, 1+ pts | 6% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 102 |
| Republicans, 4+ pts | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Michigan Governor
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One-on-one: Jocelyn Benson on her plans, priorities if elected Michigan governorLANSING, Mich. — It's less than two weeks from finding out who Michigan's next governor will be; and, outgoing Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson (D) is making her final case for voters before the big day. She kicked off a bus tour Thursday… -
Oct. 25 — Sen. Adam Schiff, Mike Rogers, Gov. Gretchen WhitmerKristen Welker has exclusive interviews with Sen. Adam Schiff (D-Calif.), Michigan Senate candidate and former Rep. Mike Rogers (R), and Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer (D) nine days out from the midterm elections. Garrett Haake, former… -
President Trump rallies for Michigan Republicans at Port Huron gatheringOctober 25, 2026 / 5:58 PM EDT / CBS Detroit President Trump is making his case for Republican candidates in Michigan; he spoke at a rally in Port Huron on Sunday ahead of the Nov. 3 midterm elections. During his speech at McMorran Place… -
What Michigan governor candidates said they'd do to lower costs for MichigandersMichigan gubernatorial candidates John James and Jocelyn Benson were asked in a debate what they would do to lower costs for Michiganders if elected governor. In the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial debate, hosted by WDIV and moderated by… -
Michigan 2026 Election ResultsGeneral election, November 3, 2026 Results will appear on this page on election night, November 3, 2026, as votes are counted. The last polls in Michigan close at 9 PM ET. Follow every state live → On the Michigan ballot: governor plus 3… -
Meet Abdul El-Sayed, The No-Nonsense Progressive Who Could Become America's First Muslim SenatorAbdul El-Sayed has gone from losing a Democratic primary for Michigan governor in 2018 to becoming one of the most closely watched Democratic candidates in the 2026 US midterm elections. The Michigan contest is attracting national… -
Lansing area voter guide: Candidates, proposals on Nov. 3 ballotsLANSING ― As the midterm election nears, the campaigns, debates and overall chatter on the candidates may become overwhelming. To help organize your thoughts, here's a one-stop-shop of the federal, state and local races across Greater… -
El-Sayed's past Muslim Brotherhood comments raise red flags as he eyes powerful roleFox News contributors Karl Rove and Melissa DeRosa discuss Michigan Democratic U.S. Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed’s response to questions about his family’s alleged ties to the Muslim Brotherhood on ‘The Story.’ Abdul El-Sayed’s past… -
Bloomberg Pours Tens of Millions into Everytown as it Announces Another $3 Million Midterm Ad BuyWith the 2026 election less than two weeks away, gun-control groups continued to dominate gun-policy advertising–thanks substantially to a massive donation from billionaire Michael Bloomberg. “Every gun safety bill must reach a governor’s… -
Fake Polling Firm Hoodwinks Major News Outlets with Bogus Polls in ‘Social Experiment’A fake polling firm managed to hoodwink multiple major news outlets with fabricated surveys, including Newsweek, MS NOW, and The New York Times. Wedgewood Polls on Tuesday admitted to fabricating nearly all its numbers in a social… -
Rogers, El-Sayed Clash Over ICE, Taxes, and Terror Ties in Michigan Senate DebateAbdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers faced off for their second Michigan Senate debate on Wednesday evening. Rogers said that voters should choose him because Michigan is suffering. The state’s education ranks 45th nationwide and 46th in…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions