Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
- James Talarico65%
- Ken Paxton36%
Install
Maine-Texas Senate Combo (Before Nov 2026)
The odds
46%James Talarico and Troy Jackson
- James Talarico and Troy Jackson46%▲ 1
- Ken Paxton and Susan Collins28%▲ 1
- James Talarico and Susan Collins16%▼ 1
- Ken Paxton and Troy Jackson9%
- James Talarico and Graham Platner<1%
- Ken Paxton and Graham Platner<1%
How the odds have moved
James Talarico and Troy Jackson: 46% on Oct 20, 46% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 24, 11 PM ETJames Talarico and Troy…: 52% → 46%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Talarico and Troy Jackson | 46% | ▲ 1 | 46¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | 682.1K |
| Ken Paxton and Susan Collins | 28% | ▲ 1 | 28¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | 785.2K |
| James Talarico and Susan Collins | 16% | ▼ 1 | 16¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 742.0K |
| Ken Paxton and Troy Jackson | 9% | 9¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 293.8K | |
| James Talarico and Graham Platner | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 58.7K | ||
| Ken Paxton and Graham Platner | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 55.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Maine-Texas Senate Combo
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions