Afford / Affordable / Affordability: 83% on Oct 19, 84% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
84%
82¢
86¢
$1.16
417
Safe / Safer / Safety
78%
65¢
76¢
$1.32
14.00
Trump / President
71%
▼ 3
62¢
73¢
$1.37
432
Home / Housing
69%
65¢
73¢
$1.37
222
Tax
58%
51¢
62¢
$1.61
50.00
AI / Artificial Intelligence
53%
▼ 6
42¢
53¢
$1.89
235
Childcare / Child Care
52%
49¢
54¢
$1.85
406
Socialist / Socialism
45%
▼ 11
43¢
47¢
$2.13
174
ICE
44%
▼ 1
41¢
46¢
$2.17
239
Landlord / Tenant
43%
30¢
41¢
$2.44
2.00
Midterm / Election
43%
40¢
46¢
$2.17
22.00
Budget / Deficit
42%
▲ 1
39¢
45¢
$2.22
114
NYPD
39%
▼ 6
30¢
41¢
$2.44
336
Grocery
36%
32¢
39¢
$2.56
36.00
Wall Street
29%
▼ 14
27¢
31¢
$3.23
136
Immigrant / Immigration
28%
24¢
31¢
$3.23
30.00
Free Bus / Fast & Free
18%
▼ 6
14¢
22¢
$4.55
162
Billionaire
14%
▼ 11
11¢
16¢
$6.25
693
Event does not qualify
6%
▲ 1
3¢
9¢
$11.11
19.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New York Times DealBook Summit, NYT DealBook Summit, Zohran Mamdani
Zohran Mamdani’s contempt for doing his job will cost him — and NYCNew York Post · 27 h agoThe Post’s exposure of Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s weird habit of not bothering to sign bills into law bodes ill for him and for the city. He’s taken the trouble to sign just one in his first 10 months, vs. 30, 47 and 28 for the last three…
Zohran Mamdani criticized by panel for prioritizing social media over lawmakingFox Business · 3 days agoFox Business Zohran Mamdani criticized by panel for prioritizing social media over lawmaking 'The Big Money Show' criticizes New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani for prioritizing social media over passing laws. The panel debates the rise of…
Zohran Mamdani & Neon Set Free ‘Once Upon A Time In Harlem’ ScreeningsDeadline · 3 days agoNeon has partnered with Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s office to host four free screenings of Once Upon a Time in Harlem across New York City this October. The screenings will happen on Saturday, October 24, and Sunday, October 25, at AMC Magic…
Mayor Zohran Mamdani And Neon Set Free NYC Screenings Of ‘Once Upon A Time In Harlem’Deadline · 3 days agoNeon, in partnership with Mayor Zohran Mamdani and the New York City Office of the Mayor, is offering four free screenings of documentary Once Upon A Time In Harlem at AMC Magic Johnson Harlem, Film Forum, and Film at Lincoln Center this…
Zohran Mamdani news - Today’s latest updatesCBS News · 4 days agoThe city announced that 10,000 new spots will be added across the city for free childcare for 2-year-olds. CBS News New York's Christina Fan reports. Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Gov. Kathy Hochul announced Monday that more than 12,000…
Zohran Mamdani Instructs Illegal Migrants How to Dodge ICEBreitbart · 2 days agoNew York City’s (NYC) socialist Mayor Zohran Mamdani advised illegal aliens on how to dodge U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agents and instructed them on their rights. In a video posted to X with English subtitles, Mamdani…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions