What will Mamdani say during NYT DealBook Summit?

Kalshi Mentions › Politicians Closes Dec 2 · $639 today · $1.7K traded · $1.5K at stake · prices read 32 min ago

The odds

84%Afford / Affordable / Affordability
  • Afford / Affordable / Affordability84%
  • Safe / Safer / Safety78%
  • Trump / President71%▼ 3
  • Home / Housing69%
  • Tax58%
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence53%▼ 6
  • Childcare / Child Care52%
  • Socialist / Socialism45%▼ 11
  • ICE44%▼ 1
  • Landlord / Tenant43%
  • Midterm / Election43%
  • Budget / Deficit42%▲ 1
7 more
  • NYPD39%▼ 6
  • Grocery36%
  • Wall Street29%▼ 14
  • Immigrant / Immigration28%
  • Free Bus / Fast & Free18%▼ 6
  • Billionaire14%▼ 11
  • Event does not qualify6%▲ 1

How the odds have moved

Afford / Affordable / Affordability: 83% on Oct 19, 84% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Afford / Affordable / Affordability 84% 82¢ 86¢ $1.16 417
Safe / Safer / Safety 78% 65¢ 76¢ $1.32 14.00
Trump / President 71% ▼ 3 62¢ 73¢ $1.37 432
Home / Housing 69% 65¢ 73¢ $1.37 222
Tax 58% 51¢ 62¢ $1.61 50.00
AI / Artificial Intelligence 53% ▼ 6 42¢ 53¢ $1.89 235
Childcare / Child Care 52% 49¢ 54¢ $1.85 406
Socialist / Socialism 45% ▼ 11 43¢ 47¢ $2.13 174
ICE 44% ▼ 1 41¢ 46¢ $2.17 239
Landlord / Tenant 43% 30¢ 41¢ $2.44 2.00
Midterm / Election 43% 40¢ 46¢ $2.17 22.00
Budget / Deficit 42% ▲ 1 39¢ 45¢ $2.22 114
NYPD 39% ▼ 6 30¢ 41¢ $2.44 336
Grocery 36% 32¢ 39¢ $2.56 36.00
Wall Street 29% ▼ 14 27¢ 31¢ $3.23 136
Immigrant / Immigration 28% 24¢ 31¢ $3.23 30.00
Free Bus / Fast & Free 18% ▼ 6 14¢ 22¢ $4.55 162
Billionaire 14% ▼ 11 11¢ 16¢ $6.25 693
Event does not qualify 6% ▲ 1 3¢ 9¢ $11.11 19.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: New York Times DealBook Summit, NYT DealBook Summit, Zohran Mamdani

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100%Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice
  • Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice100%▲ 87
  • Bibi / Netanyahu30%▼ 37
  • Stupid Question11%▼ 8
15 more
  • Autopen / Auto Pen5%▼ 17
  • TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome5%▼ 27
  • Antifa4%▼ 2
  • Zohran / Mamdani3%▼ 13
  • Tomahawk3%▼ 14
  • Zacharia2%▼ 4
  • Houthi2%▼ 14
  • Golden Dome2%▼ 5
  • Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis2%▼ 7
  • Crypto / Bitcoin2%▼ 3
  • Peace in the Middle East2%▼ 5
  • Uranium1%▼ 4
  • UFO / UAP1%▼ 5
  • Prediction Market / Predictive Market1%▼ 1
  • Make Iran Great Again1%▼ 2
KalshiCloses tomorrow 10:00 AM ET · $134K today

What will Trump say during his rally in Lubbock, Texas?

94%Cheat / Cheater / Cheating
  • Cheat / Cheater / Cheating94%▲ 4
  • America First94%▲ 33
  • Save America Act92%▼ 3
32 more
  • Sleepy Joe90%▲ 2
  • China / Chinese89%▲ 5
  • Barack Hussein Obama89%▲ 3
  • Nuclear (3+ times)87%▲ 4
  • Sanctuary87%▲ 8
  • ICE85%▼ 1
  • Tariff (3+ times)84%▲ 6
  • France84%▲ 9
  • Iran (5+ times)80%▲ 7
  • Drill Baby Drill76%▲ 9
  • Made in America / American Made74%▲ 18
  • Russia / Ukraine74%▼ 3
  • Supreme Court72%▼ 12
  • Hormuz70%▲ 14
  • Gulf of America69%▼ 3
  • Kamala60%▼ 15
  • Electricity55%▲ 2
  • Blockade53%▼ 7
  • Data Center52%▲ 18
  • Israel / Israeli35%
  • Trump Account32%▲ 2
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence30%▼ 6
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation27%▼ 2
  • Fraud (3+ times)26%▲ 9
  • Social Security (5+ times)25%▼ 1
  • Windmill21%▲ 2
  • Fentanyl16%▼ 5
  • Ceasefire12%▼ 1
  • Palestine / Palestinian9%▲ 1
  • Event does not qualify3%▼ 1
  • Peace in the Middle East2%
  • Crypto / Bitcoin2%
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What nicknames will Trump say before 2027?

87%Marjorie Traitor Greene
  • Marjorie Traitor Greene87%▼ 1
  • Crying Chuck / Cryin Chuck75%▲ 22
  • Slopadopolous / Slopadopolus70%▲ 1
10 more
  • Piggy50%▼ 1
  • Fat Slob34%▼ 1
  • Low Energy26%▲ 3
  • Crazy Nancy24%
  • Crazy Bernie20%▲ 2
  • Fake Tapper14%▼ 3
  • Biden Crime Family13%▲ 2
  • Little Communist13%
  • Rocket Man11%
  • Comrade Kamala10%▼ 1
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What will Trump say during his rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?

95%Save America Act
  • Save America Act95%
  • Cheat / Cheater / Cheating91%
  • Tariff (3+ times)88%▲ 13
32 more
  • Barack Hussein Obama88%▲ 6
  • Nuclear (3+ times)82%▲ 2
  • Sanctuary82%▲ 4
  • France82%▲ 11
  • Iran (5+ times)81%▲ 14
  • Gulf of America80%▼ 7
  • Supreme Court79%▲ 2
  • Sleepy Joe79%▲ 1
  • America First78%▲ 17
  • China / Chinese76%▼ 4
  • ICE74%▲ 1
  • Hormuz73%▲ 4
  • Russia / Ukraine71%▲ 6
  • Drill Baby Drill70%▼ 1
  • Made in America / American Made67%▲ 7
  • Kamala63%▲ 4
  • Blockade46%▼ 3
  • Data Center42%▲ 7
  • Israel / Israeli33%▼ 4
  • Electricity32%▲ 7
  • Trump Account31%▼ 4
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence27%▼ 8
  • Fraud (3+ times)24%
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation18%▼ 4
  • Fentanyl15%▲ 2
  • Windmill14%▲ 1
  • Social Security (5+ times)14%▼ 2
  • Palestine / Palestinian11%▼ 1
  • Ceasefire6%▼ 1
  • Event does not qualify3%
  • Peace in the Middle East2%
  • Crypto / Bitcoin2%
KalshiCloses Nov 10 · $7K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions