Google market share this week (Google market share - Oct 19, 2026)
19.99%median
15.2%22.8%
Median 19.99%Middle half 19.83% – 20.8%
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Will Meta release Llama 5 this year? (Before Jan 1, 2027)
The odds
1%chance▼ 2
How the odds have moved
Yes: 3% on Oct 20, 1% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | ▼ 2 | 2¢ | $50.00 | 87.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Meta, Llama
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Review: Ray-Ban Meta AudioI am very lost in Los Angeles. I’m also sweating because I'm running as fast as I can, slapping my hands against the wet glasses frame on my face to boost the volume of the pulsing techno beats blasting into my ears—and anyone else’s if… -
Meta turns Muse sharing back onMeta has given new URLs to shared Muse ‘artifacts’ after security researchers reported that public links could be easy to find. Meta has re-enabled Muse sharing after security researchers had reported that public conversation links could… -
Why some people are falling for Meta's Muse AIYou might use artificial intelligence to write an email, make dinner reservations or plan your next vacation. But would you ever consider dating it? Some people are taking that idea seriously with Meta's new Muse AI agent. They're having… -
Why Meta is charging to post more hyperlinksIn our team's Slack, co-host Wailin Wong responded to the low prices, "make it up on volume!?" Jeff Guo wrote, "how is this real." But like, actually. How is this real? Tom Kloza is the chief energy advisor for Gulf Oil Screenshot of a… -
How Many Billions Would It Take to Hold Meta Accountable?Earlier this week, a New Mexico judge ordered Meta to pay a $25 billion fine for violating consumer protection laws dating back to the Cambridge Analytica scandal. $25 billion is a massive fine, the largest Meta has ever faced, but it… -
Bill Ackman: Meta is 'incredibly undervalued'CNBC Bill Ackman: Meta is 'incredibly undervalued' -
Meta delays new business terms after publisher pushback on AI scrapingMeta is delaying the enforcement of its new business terms after publishers raised concerns that they could allow the company to scrape news sites for AI training, as reported earlier by Fast Company. In a statement to The Verge, Meta… -
Meta’s AI could still scrape news sites, legal experts sayMeta has tweaked its business terms to remove language suggesting that it could freely train its AI models on news sites, like The Verge - but legal experts say these changes aren't enough to address their concerns. "This does nothing to… -
Meta shares are down 9% this week. Here's why Mike Khouw is buying nowSize is a relative matter. The standard Manhattan apartment would seem almost claustrophobic compared to the vast expanses offered by suburban living. A similar dynamic is playing out in the market. Mega-cap companies are generally defined… -
Meta-earnings-ads-Ray WangMeta's ad business 'still on fire': Analyst CNBC Meta's ad business 'still on fire': Analyst -
‘Just the beginning’: New Mexico AG warns AI industry after $25B Meta rulingNew Mexico Attorney General Raúl Torrez said the record-setting judgment should encourage more states to take the tech industry to trial. New Mexico Attorney General Raúl Torrez (D) discusses a judgment in the state's Facebook case during… -
Personal agents like Meta's Muse could fuel AI’s growth — and challenge Amazon and AppleMeta's Muse is taking off, but analysts say it's only the beginning
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All ai ›OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
Nov 13, 2027even chance by
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Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
1,410median
1,3801,480
Median 1,410Middle half 1,405 – 1,415
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
90%Google
- Google90%▲ 1
- Anthropic8%▼ 2
- OpenAI1%
18 more
- Meta<1%
- Moonshot<1%
- Alibaba<1%
- Baidu<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- SpaceXAI<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Amazon<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- Thinky<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Tencent<1%
- StepFun<1%
- Microsoft<1%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
67%No release by October 31
- No release by October 3167%▼ 4
- October 2718%▲ 8
- October 264%▲ 1
11 more
- October 304%▲ 2
- October 293%▼ 2
- October 282%▼ 1
- October 311%▼ 1
- October 201%▼ 12
- October 251%
- October 19<1%▼ 2
- October 21<1%▼ 5
- October 22<1%▼ 14
- October 23<1%▼ 4
- October 24<1%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
Nov 19, 2026even chance by
- October 21<1%▼ 12
- October 22<1%▼ 14
- October 24<1%▼ 1
2 more
- October 3131%▲ 4
- December 3195%▲ 2
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.