Brazil Presidential Election
77%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro77%▼ 2
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva23%▲ 1
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Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
The odds
48%Christopher Luxon
- Christopher Luxon48%
- Benjamin Netanyahu39%
- Pedro Sánchez21%▼ 1
- Sébastien Lecornu16%▼ 2
- Mohammed bin Salman14%▼ 2
- Miguel Díaz-Canel14%
- Edi Rama11%
- Volodymyr Zelenskyy9%
- Emmanuel Macron8%▲ 2
- Delcy Rodriguez8%
- Kim Jong Un8%▲ 5
- Rodrigo Paz Pereira7%
23 more
- Lee Jae Myung7%
- Mette Frederiksen6%
- Narendra Modi6%
- Friedrich Merz6%
- Ahmad al-Sharaa5%
- Ramzan Kadyrov5%
- Denis Sassou Nguesso4%
- Sanae Takaichi4%
- Vladimir Putin4%
- Cyril Ramaphosa4%
- Daniel Noboa4%
- Félix Tshisekedi4%
- Recep Tayyip Erdoğan4%
- Giorgia Meloni4%
- Javier Milei4%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva4%
- Irfaan Ali3%
- Claudia Sheinbaum3%
- Jens-Frederik Nielsen3%
- Xi Jinping3%▲ 1
- Mark Carney3%
- Frederik X3%
- Nayib Bukele2%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Luxon | 48% | 46¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | 17.0K | |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 39% | 38¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | 573.2K | |
| Pedro Sánchez | 21% | ▼ 1 | 20¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 59.3K |
| Sébastien Lecornu | 16% | ▼ 2 | 14¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 2.4K |
| Mohammed bin Salman | 14% | ▼ 2 | 13¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 146.0K |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel | 14% | 13¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 749.6K | |
| Edi Rama | 11% | 7¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | ||
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 9% | 8¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 132.0K | |
| Emmanuel Macron | 8% | ▲ 2 | 8¢ | 8¢ | $12.35 | 94.0K |
| Delcy Rodriguez | 8% | 6¢ | 9¢ | $11.24 | 24.8K | |
| Kim Jong Un | 8% | ▲ 5 | 6¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 45.0K |
| Rodrigo Paz Pereira | 7% | 4¢ | 10¢ | $10.42 | 4.9K | |
| Lee Jae Myung | 7% | 4¢ | 9¢ | $11.24 | 9.9K | |
| Mette Frederiksen | 6% | 5¢ | 7¢ | $14.49 | 13.3K | |
| Narendra Modi | 6% | 5¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 7.8K | |
| Friedrich Merz | 6% | 6¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 93.2K | |
| Ahmad al-Sharaa | 5% | 3¢ | 7¢ | $15.15 | 27.7K | |
| Ramzan Kadyrov | 5% | 3¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 7.0K | |
| Denis Sassou Nguesso | 4% | 3¢ | 5¢ | $18.52 | 1.4K | |
| Sanae Takaichi | 4% | 3¢ | 5¢ | $21.74 | 48.1K | |
| Vladimir Putin | 4% | 4¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 786.9K | |
| Cyril Ramaphosa | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $15.63 | 8.6K | |
| Daniel Noboa | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $15.87 | 1.3K | |
| Félix Tshisekedi | 4% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $17.54 | 1.3K | |
| Recep Tayyip Erdoğan | 4% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 20.9K | |
| Giorgia Meloni | 4% | 3¢ | 5¢ | $22.22 | 8.3K | |
| Javier Milei | 4% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $20.41 | 5.4K | |
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 4% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $20.41 | 65.3K | |
| Irfaan Ali | 3% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $18.18 | 611 | |
| Claudia Sheinbaum | 3% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $27.03 | 150.2K | |
| Jens-Frederik Nielsen | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 9.5K | |
| Xi Jinping | 3% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 4¢ | $26.32 | 683.5K |
| Mark Carney | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $24.39 | 15.1K | |
| Frederik X | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 3.9K | |
| Nayib Bukele | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $35.71 | 6.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Christopher Luxon, Benjamin Netanyahu, Pedro Sánchez
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
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