Los Angeles County Sheriff winner? (2026)

Kalshi Elections Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $1.9K traded · $1.1K at stake · prices read 23 min ago

The odds

99%Robert G. Luna

Robert G. Luna99%
Alex Villanueva2%

How the odds have moved

Robert G. Luna: 99% on Oct 20, 99% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Robert G. Luna	99%		98¢	99¢	$1.01	1.9K
Alex Villanueva	2%		1¢	2¢	$50.00	2.9K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Los Angeles County Sheriff, Robert G. Luna, Alex Villanueva

Search ›

ANCA-WR Announces 2026 General Election Endorsementsoragark.com · 3 days agoLOS ANGELES, CA – The Armenian National Committee of America, Western Region (ANC U.S. House of Representatives: Nevada Dina Titus, NV-1 (2026 Report Card: A+)Susie Lee, NV-3 (2026 Report Card: A-)Steven Horsford, NV-4 (2026 Report Card…
Oh, By the Way, Malibu Is BurningFat Elephant · 6 days agoThe fast-moving Bryson Fire broke out Thursday, October 15, near Encinal Canyon Road and Mulholland Highway, raising concerns about homes and communities along the Santa Monica Mountains. By Friday morning, the fire had burned about 147…
President Trump Works to Expedite D.C. Carry PermitsNRA-ILA · 7 days agoMonday, March 31, 2025 As part of this effort, President Trump made clear that law-abiding Americans should be empowered to exercise their right to bear arms for self-defense in the Nation’s Capital. The executive order established a D.C…
Robert Luna vs. Alex Villanuevaourweekly.com · 11 days agoBlack News and Entertainment Los Angeles As the general election looms, Robert Luna and Alex Villanueva are doing their best to sway voters in their sheriff race. Luna, the incumbent Los Angeles County sheriff, is seeking a second term in…
City Council Backs $40,000 Marketing Campaign, $313,000 Art Wall To Revitalize Main StreetKHTS Radio · 11 days agoPosted by: Jade Aubuchon in Santa Clarita City Council, Santa Clarita Latest News October 14, 2026 - 2:59 pm 0 22 Views The recovery measures aim to bring visitors back to Main Street, improve the appearance of fire-damaged properties and…
Bass, Raman Face Westlake Immigration ForumHoodline · 12 days agoThe budget debate described above is one part of how the city has delivered immigrant legal services. A Los Angeles Community Investment for Families Department report says RepresentLA provided removal-defense representation, affirmative…
LA County sheriff election: Crime, Central Jail, board cooperation top issues for Luna, VillanuevaSan Gabriel Valley Tribune · 13 days agoAs Los Angeles County Sheriff Robert Luna runs for re-election in November, he has a familiar opponent: Former Sheriff Alex Villanueva. Luna became sheriff in 2022 by easily handling Villanueva, 61.3% to 38.7%. One of the main issues in…
Voter Guide For Malibu: What's On The Ballot, Voting, & MoreMalibu · 13 days agoMALIBU, CA — Election day is Nov. 3, but Californians are already receiving their mail-in ballots for an election that will determine the next governor, which party will control Congress, the fate of a Golden State tax just for…
Voter Guide For Beverly Hills: What's On The Ballot, Voting, & MoreBeverly Hills · 13 days agoBEVERLY HILLS, CA — Election day is Nov. 3, but Californians are already receiving their mail-in ballots for an election that will determine the next governor, which party will control Congress, the fate of a Golden State tax just for…
Alex Villanueva, Los Angeles County Sheriff candidate, 2026 election questionnaireDaily News · 20 days agoCurrent job title: Former Sheriff, Los Angeles County Other political positions held: La Habra Heights planning commissioner City where you reside: La Habra Heights What would you do to build trust in the sheriff’s department? (Please…

Related markets

All elections ›

Elections › Around the world

Brazil Presidential Election

82%Flávio Bolsonaro

Flávio Bolsonaro82%▼ 2
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva18%▲ 2

Elections › Around the world

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

55%Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia55%▼ 14
Student List – Students Win45%▲ 15
Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!<1%

7 more

Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)<1%
Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor<1%
Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification<1%
Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić<1%
Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović<1%
European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš<1%
SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak<1%

Elections › Around the world

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

50%Flávio Bolsonaro <4%

Flávio Bolsonaro <4%50%▲ 12
Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%29%▼ 7
Lula da Silva <4%15%▲ 1

5 more

Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%4%▼ 3
Lula da Silva 4-8%1%
Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+1%▼ 2
Lula da Silva 8-12%<1%
Lula da Silva 12%+<1%

Elections › Senate

Texas Senate winner? (2026)

65%James Talarico

James Talarico65%▲ 1
Ken Paxton36%

Elections › Around the world

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

70%Yashar

Yashar70%▲ 1
Likud29%▼ 1
Together<1%

3 more

Shas<1%
The Democrats<1%
Otzma Yehudit<1%

Elections › Around the world

Next French Presidential Election

44%Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen44%▼ 3
Édouard Philippe16%▼ 1
David Lisnard14%▲ 1

42 more

Jean-Luc Mélenchon12%▲ 1
Raphaël Glucksmann3%▼ 1
François Hollande2%
Bruno Retailleau2%
Éric Zemmour1%
Gabriel Attal1%
Dominique de Villepin1%
Jordan Bardella1%
Sarah Knafo1%
Sébastien Lecornu<1%
Christine Lagarde<1%
Xavier Bertrand<1%
Marion Maréchal<1%
Natacha Polony<1%
François Ruffin<1%
Ségolène Royal<1%
François Asselineau<1%
Jean Castex<1%
Laurent Wauquiez<1%
Marine Tondelier<1%
Fabien Roussel<1%
Olivier Faure<1%
Clémentine Autain<1%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan<1%
Michel Barnier<1%
Valérie Pécresse<1%
François Bayrou<1%
Élisabeth Borne<1%
Yaël Braun-Pivet<1%
Gérald Darmanin<1%
Carole Delga<1%
Bernard Cazeneuve<1%
Manuel Bompard<1%
Mathilde Panot<1%
Juan Branco<1%
Clémence Guetté<1%
Karim Bouamrane<1%
Lucie Castets<1%
Yannick Jadot<1%
François Baroin<1%
Anasse Kazib<1%
Sylvain Durif<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onLos Angeles County Registrar-Recorder/County Clerk

Trading closesNov 3, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$1.9K (4,774 contracts)

This week$11

At stake$1.1K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Robert G. Luna wins the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions