Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election? (Before Oct 27, 2027)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Oct 27, 2027 · $31 today · $555 traded · $347 at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

23%Yair Lapid

Yair Lapid23%▼ 2
Naftali Bennett7%▼ 1
Gideon Sa'ar7%▼ 5
Avigdor Lieberman5%▼ 2
Gadi Eisenkot4%
Israel Katz2%▼ 1
Yair Golan2%▼ 1
Benjamin Netanyahu1%
Chili Tropper1%
Einat Wilf1%
Yossi Cohen1%
Amir Ohana1%▼ 1

4 more

Benny Gantz1%
Eli Cohen1%
Ron Dermer1%
Yoram Cohen1%

How the odds have moved

Yair Lapid: 22% on Oct 19, 23% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Yair Lapid	23%	▼ 2	22¢	24¢	$4.17	334
Naftali Bennett	7%	▼ 1	6¢	8¢	$12.50	197
Gideon Sa'ar	7%	▼ 5	6¢	7¢	$14.29	130
Avigdor Lieberman	5%	▼ 2	2¢	7¢	$14.29
Gadi Eisenkot	4%		2¢	6¢	$16.67	2.2K
Israel Katz	2%	▼ 1		3¢	$33.33
Yair Golan	2%	▼ 1		3¢	$33.33	4.8K
Benjamin Netanyahu	1%			2¢	$50.00	6.4K
Chili Tropper	1%			2¢	$50.00	3.6K
Einat Wilf	1%			2¢	$50.00	5.8K
Yossi Cohen	1%			2¢	$50.00	3.4K
Amir Ohana	1%	▼ 1		1¢	$100.00
Benny Gantz	1%			1¢	$100.00	5.1K
Eli Cohen	1%			1¢	$100.00
Ron Dermer	1%			1¢	$100.00	2.0K
Yoram Cohen	1%			1¢	$100.00	3.1K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Yair Lapid, Naftali Bennett, Gideon Sa'ar

Search ›

Israel Election 2026: Who Is Running? Check Benjamin Netanyahu, Gadi Eisenkot, Naftali Bennett, Key Parties and CandidatesThe Sunday Guardian · 20 h agoIsrael Election 2026: Israel is scheduled to hold its parliamentary election on October 27, 2026, to elect members of the 26th Knesset, the country’s legislature. The election will determine the balance of power in Israel’s 120-seat…
Israel Election 2026: Netanyahu vs Gadi Eisenkot, Naftali Bennett And Other Rivals; What Do Final Polls Show And How Is The Prime Minister Chosen?The Sunday Guardian · 5 h agoIsrael Election 2026: An election of the Israeli parliament is expected to take place on Tuesday, October 27, 2026, where Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is running for office once again despite opposition from several other…
Yair Lapid's Morocco visit has turned into a farceMiddle East Eye · 3 days agoIsraeli Foreign Minister Yair Lapid's visit to Morocco this week is not a historical event, since the kingdom normalised its relations with Israel back in December 2020. However, this high-profile visit has started to look like a national…
Anti-Netanyahu bloc weighs minority government as Naftali Bennett, Avigdor Liberman oppose planThe Jerusalem Post | JPost.com · 2 days agoIsrael's anti-Netanyahu bloc is preparing for the possibility of forming a minority government after the upcoming elections, despite opposition from Avigdor Liberman and Naftali Bennett, while a broad agreement is emerging among the…
Israel Elections 2026: Who Are Benjamin Netanyahu’s Political Rivals? A Look At Former Military Chief Gadi Eisenkot, Ex-PM Naftali Bennett And Other Opposition LeadersThe Sunday Guardian · 3 days agoThis election is being held in a time of discussion regarding national security, government response to the October 2023 Hamas-led attack, war in Gaza, military service exemption from ultra-Orthodox Jews, and the high cost of living. Gadi…
Yair Lapid: The upcoming election is about what we want Israel to be - opinionThe Jerusalem Post | JPost.com · 3 days agoHere’s what I did on a typical morning this week before 8 a.m. I was interviewed on the radio to discuss someone on Channel 14 calling Gadi Eisenkot a “monkey,” and Yinon Magal describing Ofri Bibas, whose brother returned from captivity…
Middle Israel: Why Naftali Bennett should be Israel's next prime minister - opinionThe Jerusalem Post | JPost.com · 3 days agoThe issues are clear. Israelis will judge their leaders next Tuesday on three fronts: accountability, duty, and merit. Accountability should dominate, as the trauma of autumn 2023 is etched in every voter’s mind. Two facts about this…
Israel Election 2026 Date: When Will Israelis Vote? Check Election Schedule, Key Candidates, Major Parties & Latest UpdatesThe Sunday Guardian · 21 h agoThe Israel Election 2026 is scheduled for Tuesday, October 27, 2026. The vote will determine the composition of the 26th Knesset, Israel’s national legislature. According to the official election timetable, the publication of election…
How Israel’s elections could bring thaw with Syria@AlMonitor · 6 h agoThe next Israeli government could have an opportunity to secure several diplomatic wins involving the United States and Iran by improving relations with Syria. How Israel’s elections could bring thaw with Syria The next Israeli government…
Israel Elections 2026: Who Are Benjamin Netanyahu’s Main Rivals, and Can the Opposition Secure a Parliamentary Majority to End His Long Rule?The Sunday Guardian · 5 h agoIsraeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is heading into a crucial parliamentary election with his political future uncertain, as a narrowing race and divisions among opposition parties complicate the contest for power. Voting is…
Bennett-Lapid list pitches unity ahead of Knesset electionIsrael & Jewish News - JNS · 23 h agoFormer Prime Minister Naftali Bennett’s B’Yachad party told JNS on Sunday that it is optimistic about this week’s Knesset election, “in part because we know the people of Israel are the best in the world.” The campaign said the Jewish…
Netanyahu Faces Tough Challenge in Bitterly Contested Israeli Electiondeccanchronicle.com · 10 h agoJerusalem: Israel is heading into one of its most bitterly contested elections, with incumbent Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu facing a strong challenge amid escalating tensions in West Asia, the ongoing conflict with Iran and security…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onthe Associated Press, Bloomberg News, Reuters

Trading closesOct 27, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$555 (37,163 contracts)

Today$31

This week$28

At stake$347

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Amir Ohana formally takes office as Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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