Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place (Oct 27, 2026)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Oct 27, 2027 · $157 today · $4.2K traded · $3.1K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

90%Together
  • Together90%▲ 8
  • Otzma Yehudit4%▼ 1
  • Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad)2%▼ 1
  • Religious Zionist Party–Zehut1%▼ 1
  • Reservists–New Economic Party1%▼ 1
  • Blue and White1%
  • Likud1%
  • The Democrats1%▼ 3
  • A Place for All of Us<1%
  • Haredi Public<1%
  • Israel First<1%
  • New Economic Party<1%
11 more
  • Noam for Israel<1%
  • People of Israel<1%
  • Ra'am<1%
  • Religious Zionist Party<1%
  • Shas<1%▼ 5
  • United Torah Judaism<1%
  • Unity<1%
  • Yashar<1%
  • Yisrael Beiteinu<1%
  • Zehut<1%
  • Zionist Home–The Reservists<1%

How the odds have moved

Together: 75% on Oct 20, 90% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 26, 7 AM ETTogether: 85% → 90%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Together 90% ▲ 8 90¢ 92¢ $1.09 4.5K
Otzma Yehudit 4% ▼ 1 3¢ 6¢ $16.67 1.5K
Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad) 2% ▼ 1 4¢ $25.00 82.00
Religious Zionist Party–Zehut 1% ▼ 1 3¢ $33.33 28.00
Reservists–New Economic Party 1% ▼ 1 3¢ $33.33 28.00
Blue and White 1% 2¢ $50.00 205
Likud 1% 2¢ $50.00 856
The Democrats 1% ▼ 3 2¢ $50.00 582
A Place for All of Us <1% 1¢ $100.00 205
Haredi Public <1% 1¢ $100.00 205
Israel First <1% 1¢ $100.00 205
New Economic Party <1% 1¢ $100.00 205
Noam for Israel <1% 1¢ $100.00 205
People of Israel <1% 1¢ $100.00 405
Ra'am <1% 1¢ $100.00 205
Religious Zionist Party <1% 1¢ $100.00 205
Shas <1% ▼ 5 1¢ $100.00 1.1K
United Torah Judaism <1% 1¢ $100.00 205
Unity <1% 1¢ $100.00 205
Yashar <1% 1¢ $100.00 205
Yisrael Beiteinu <1% 1¢ $100.00 46.00
Zehut <1% 1¢ $100.00 205
Zionist Home–The Reservists <1% 1¢ $100.00 205

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Israeli Parliamentary, Otzma Yehudit

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions