Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
197.7median
160230
Median 197.7Middle half 189.8 – 203.2
Install
Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum? (Before 2030)
The odds
24%chance▼ 2
How the odds have moved
Yes: 24% on Oct 20, 24% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 24% | ▼ 2 | 20¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | 4.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ireland
Search ›-
SAG-AFTRA Votes To Extend Duncan Crabtree-IrelandSAG-AFTRA has voted to extend National Executive Director Duncan Crabtree-Ireland‘s contract through June 20, 2032. During Saturday’s meeting, the SAG-AFTRA National Board approved the agreement with a 98.34% vote in favor of extending… -
Erasmus' 156 not out helps Namibia defeat IrelandGerhard Erasmus' previous highest ODI score had been 125 Ireland 290 (47.3 overs): Stirling 77 (71); Brassell 4-52 Namibia win by 31 runs, five-game series tied 1-1 An unbeaten 156 from Gerhard Erasmus helped Namibia level their five-game… -
Scotland men beat Ireland in dramatic shinty-hurling internationalScotland grabbed a stunning 24-23 victory over Ireland's hurlers in a cliffhanging shinty-hurling international in Cork, to bring a series of three Irish successes to an end. The winning point was finally scored by Kingussie's Zander… -
Dónal Lunny, ‘colossus of Irish music’, dies aged 79Founding member of Planxty, Lunny went on to play for bands such as Moving Hearts, the Bothy Band and Coolfin The Irish traditional musician Dónal Lunny has died at the age of 79 from cancer. Lunny rose to prominence in the band Rakes of… -
Six-try Ireland beat South Africa in Cape TownIreland captain Erin King scored a second-half try having been yellow carded earlier in the game South Africa (17) 27 Tries: Hele, Ubisi, Tshiremba, Makua, Arries Con: Cilliers Tries: Dalton, Djougang 2, Clohessy, Parsons, King Cons… -
Ireland's Junior Eurovision duo to step onto 'magical' stageThey both feel comfortably at home in the spotlight, but as they prepare for the biggest show of their young lives, Ireland's junior Eurovision singers admit some nerves are creeping in. Junior Eurovision Song Contest 2026 will be held on… -
London Irish target 2027 return after takeoverLondon Irish have been inactive since going into administration in June 2023 London Irish hope to return to professional rugby as early as next season with new owner and chairman Steve Daniels vowing to put the club "firmly back on the… -
Derry City vs Dundalk: Irish Premier DivisionFT: Derry City 2-1 Dundalk Clarke gives Candystripes lead Tracey grabbed a consolation to cut arrears See how Shane Tracey scored to reduce Dundalk's deficit to their hosts. See how Michael Duffy slotted home Derry City's second goal… -
Celebrated Irish musician Dónal Lunny dies aged 79A founding member of three renowned bands - The Bothy Band, Planxty and Moving Hearts - he was widely credited for the revival and growth of Irish traditional music. He also composed and wrote scores for a wide range of projects including… - Irish Premiership - radio, text and in-play clips from Saturday gamesHT: Bangor 1-0 Larne (18:00) Arthurs gives hosts the lead FT: Carrick Rangers 1-1 Limavady United Paul Heatley scores for hosts before Joe Crowe nets late own goal FT: Crusaders 0-5 Coleraine Scot Rough shown early red card for challenge…
-
Irish politicians disavow ‘demeaning’ PSA warning grandparents not to hug family without asking consentMultiple politicians from the Irish government have disavowed an ad from a state-funded organization warning against hugging one's family members without consent. An ad released by the Dublin Rape Crisis Centre (DRCC) in Ireland that urged… -
Notre Dame Football Bye Week: Who Should Irish Fans Root For?While I don't look at this bye week coming at the perfect time for Notre Dame, especially following its loss at BYU, it is reality and plenty of impactful college football will be played this weekend, which will impact Notre Dame's chances…
Related markets
All world leaders ›Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)
189median
140230
Median 189Middle half 174.1 – 200.9
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)
293.4median
250340
Median 293.4Middle half 281.4 – 308.3
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)
185.8median
140230
Median 185.8Middle half 176.0 – 197.4
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
295median
250340
Median 295Middle half 285 – 306.0
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Feb 19, 2028even chance by
- Before Nov 1, 20262%
- Before Dec 1, 20265%
- Before Jan 1, 20278%
14 more
- Before Feb 1, 20279%
- Before Mar 1, 202714%▼ 2
- Before Apr 1, 202718%
- Before May 1, 202720%▲ 1
- Before Jun 1, 202725%
- Before Jul 1, 202731%
- Before Aug 1, 202733%
- Before Sep 1, 202734%▼ 1
- Before Oct 1, 202737%
- Before Nov 1, 202741%
- Before Dec 1, 202741%
- Before Jan 1, 202848%▼ 1
- Before Jul 1, 202856%
- Before Jan 1, 202960%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.