Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)
91%chance
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S&P price range on Oct 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
The odds
7,600median
S&P 500 now 7,623.68 −0.52% 7,2758,025
Median 7,600Middle half 7,367 – 7,806Above today's price 48%
How the odds have moved
Median: 7,682 on Oct 25, 7,600 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7,299.9999 or below | 6% | 10¢ | $10.00 | |||
| 7,300 to 7,324.9999 | 16% | 11¢ | $9.09 | 20.00 | ||
| 7,350 to 7,374.9999 | 4% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| 7,425 to 7,449.9999 | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | |||
| 7,500 to 7,524.9999 | 5% | ▼ 1 | 8¢ | $12.50 | ||
| 7,550 to 7,574.9999 | 7% | 1¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | ||
| 7,575 to 7,599.9999 | 8% | 1¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | ||
| 7,600 to 7,624.9999 | 8% | 1¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | ||
| 7,675 to 7,699.9999 | 16% | 1¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 25.00 | |
| 7,800 to 7,824.9999 | 6% | 9¢ | $11.11 | |||
| 7,825 to 7,849.9999 | 5% | ▼ 1 | 8¢ | $12.50 | ||
| 7,875 to 7,899.9999 | 4% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | $14.29 | ||
| 7,975 to 7,999.9999 | 6% | ▲ 2 | 10¢ | $10.00 | ||
| 8,000 or above | 5% | ▼ 1 | 8¢ | $12.50 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news
No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
$777.25high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $777.25 and as low as $751.74.
- Reaches $770>99%
- Reaches $78031%
- Falls to $760>99%
- Falls to $75040%
Already reached: ↑ $780, ↑ $770, ↓ $760, ↑ $770, ↑ $770, ↓ $770
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
48%↑ $8,000
Traders see as low as 7,307.
- Reaches 8,00048%
- Reaches 8,20021%
- Falls to 7,40066%
- Falls to 7,20032%
Already reached: ↑ $7,800, ↑ $7,600, ↑ $7,400, ↓ $6,600, ↓ $6,400
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions