IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026

Kalshi Finance › Indexes Closes tomorrow 4:00 PM ET · $10.1K today · $33.9K traded · $9K at stake · prices read 17 min ago

The odds

214,636median

189,000221,000

Median 214,636Middle half 210,225 – 218,500

How the odds have moved

Median: 211,300 on Oct 20, 214,636 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
At least 190,000 points	90%	▲ 11	84¢	98¢	$1.02	1.4K
At least 191,000 points	86%		55¢	98¢	$1.02	383
At least 192,000 points	86%		13¢	98¢	$1.02	358
At least 193,000 points	77%		42¢	98¢	$1.02	1.5K
At least 194,000 points	77%	▼ 9	68¢	90¢	$1.11	3.4K
At least 195,000 points	77%		59¢	95¢	$1.05	1.4K
At least 196,000 points	77%	▲ 19	38¢	94¢	$1.06	1.3K
At least 197,000 points	77%	▼ 46	67¢	87¢	$1.15	408
At least 198,000 points	77%	▲ 22	70¢	96¢	$1.04	532
At least 199,000 points	77%	▲ 13	54¢	95¢	$1.05	774
At least 200,000 points	77%	▼ 9	34¢	94¢	$1.06	241
At least 201,000 points	77%		16¢	96¢	$1.04	444
At least 202,000 points	77%		19¢	97¢	$1.03	169
At least 203,000 points	77%		25¢	90¢	$1.11	707
At least 205,000 points	77%		22¢	94¢	$1.06	643
At least 206,000 points	77%	▲ 40	25¢	96¢	$1.04	180
At least 207,000 points	77%		21¢	88¢	$1.14	271
At least 208,000 points	77%	▼ 1	72¢	89¢	$1.12	6.6K
At least 209,000 points	77%	▲ 16	16¢	90¢	$1.11	26.00
At least 210,000 points	77%	▲ 31	47¢	93¢	$1.08	707
At least 211,000 points	68%	▼ 38	43¢	85¢	$1.18	2.1K
At least 212,000 points	68%	▲ 20	25¢	86¢	$1.16	1.6K
At least 213,000 points	68%	▲ 50	33¢	88¢	$1.14	521
At least 214,000 points	68%		53¢	79¢	$1.27	439
At least 215,000 points	40%	▲ 1	19¢	42¢	$2.38	9.1K
At least 216,000 points	40%	▲ 4	37¢	45¢	$2.22	9.6K
At least 217,000 points	28%	▲ 14	37¢	48¢	$2.08	7.7K
At least 218,000 points	28%	▲ 16	23¢	37¢	$2.70	14.5K
At least 219,000 points	22%		6¢	21¢	$4.76	396
At least 220,000 points	22%	▼ 8	5¢	23¢	$4.35	765

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: IBOVESPA, Brazil

Search ›

Brazil Election: Trump Ally Bolsonaro vs. Lula Final Polls and OddsNewsweek · 6 h agoOct 25, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT Brazilians vote Sunday in a presidential runoff between Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, a close ally of President Donald Trump, and President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Final polls show a dead heat, while prediction…
Brazil votes in pivotal runoff between Lula and Bolsonaro Jr.NBC News · 11 h agoSAO PAULO — Brazilians head to the polls on Sunday in a tight runoff vote that could shift ⁠Latin America’s largest nation sharply rightward, bringing it closer to the United States as part of a broader conservative shift across the…
Lula, Bolsonaro rally supporters on final day before Brazil presidential runoffCNBC · 10 h agoBrazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro wrapped up their campaigns on Saturday ahead of Sunday's presidential runoff vote, mobilizing supporters and making a final push for undecided voters. The two…
Brazil elections: Voters choose between President Lula and Trump ally BolsonaroNPR · 13 h agoBrazilians go to the polls as President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and right-wing Sen. Flávio Bolsonaro, the son of jailed former president Jair Bolsonaro, face off in a presidential runoff. Brazil elections: Voters choose between President…
Who are the candidates for the Brazilian election?BBC · 21 h agoBrazilians will head to the polls on Sunday to vote for their next president. They are choosing between Brazil's current left-wing President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and the right-wing Senator Flávio Bolsonaro. Bolsonaro, the son of…
Brazil elections: Voters choosing between Flávio Bolsonaro and Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaBBC News · 11 h agoBrazilians are voting to choose their new president in a closely fought run-off election - polls will close at 17:00 local time (20:00 GMT) It is the second round of voting after right-wing senator Flávio Bolsonaro won the first round…
Brazilians vote in presidential election runoff pitting leftist Lula against far-right Bolsonarothe Guardian · 11 h agoIncumbent president lost in first round to senator and son of convicted ex-president Brazilians are going to the polls on Sunday in a highly unpredictable runoff in which the leftist president, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, is attempting an…
Who are the candidates in Brazil's presidential election?BBC News · 21 h agoBrazilians will head to the polls on Sunday to vote for their next president. They are choosing between Brazil's current left-wing President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and the right-wing Senator Flávio Bolsonaro. Bolsonaro, the son of…
Voters in Brazil to choose between Lula and Bolsonaro's sonBBC News · 19 h agoBrazilians go to the polls on Sunday to elect their new president in a closely fought run-off election. The choice is between the 80-year-old incumbent, left-winger Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, who is seeking a fourth non-consecutive term in…
Brazilian nurse dies after shrimp allergy during Portugal honeymoonNew York Post · 21 h agoA Brazilian nurse died from an alleged allergic reaction to shrimp during her honeymoon in Portugal, just 11 days after marrying the love of her life. Amanda Nascimento, 29, married Tiago Nascimento on Oct. 10 and traveled to Europe for…
Brazil becomes next test for Latin America’s surging conservative movementFox News · 19 h agoFlavio Bolsonaro joined supporters in Santa Barbara D'Oeste to lead a motorcade. Polls in Brazil show a tight presidential race with incumbent Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva. (Video: Reuters.) Brazil's estimated 158 million voters could advance…
Brazil’s election tests Lula’s leftist legacy against Bolsonaro’s right-wing movementCNN · 15 h agoLeftist President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, 80, entered this month’s presidential election as the favorite by nearly every poll, hoping to secure a fourth term and extend a political career that has shaped the country for more than two…

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Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $775.93 and as low as $751.07.

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Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026

66,096median

50,00090,000

Median 66,096Middle half 57,738 – 72,829

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onTrading View

Trading closesOct 26, 2026 4:00 PM ET

Traded$33.9K (68,147 contracts)

Today$10.1K

This week$33.9K

At stake$9K

In the news242 headlines today, 1,657 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV), in native index points is at least 190,000 index points at the official B3 closing observation on October 26, 2026 (Brazil trading date), then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions