Top Text to Image AI this week (Oct 23, 2026)

Kalshi Tech › AI Closed Fri 10:00 AM ET · $50 traded · $50 at stake

Settled OpenAIA day before, traders gave it 93%.

The last odds before it closed

95%OpenAI

✓ OpenAI95%▼ 1
Reve—
Microsoft—
Google—
HiDream—
Bytedance—
Nvidia—
Recraft—
SpaceXAI—
Black Forest Labs—
Krea—

How the odds have moved

OpenAI: 89% on Oct 19, 95% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Last odds	Contracts
✓ OpenAI	95%	53.00
✗ Reve	—
✗ Microsoft	—
✗ Google	—
✗ HiDream	—
✗ Bytedance	—
✗ Nvidia	—
✗ Recraft	—
✗ SpaceXAI	—
✗ Black Forest Labs	—
✗ Krea	—

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Image AI, Text

Search ›

Glow pushes image AI into reverseenmnews.com · 15 h agoA new generative model called Glow is taking a different route to image creation by making every major step reversible. The design centers on invertible 1x1 convolutions, a mechanism that helps the system keep track of information as it…
Intel chiefs stand by defense of Signal chat at House hearing after new texts emergeCBS News · 16 h agoUpdated on: March 26, 2025 / 1:56 PM EDT / CBS News Washington — Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard and CIA Director John Ratcliffe defended their participation in a group chat on the encrypted messaging app Signal that…
Watch Video: Apple’s iPhone Duo Internal Display Break Reportedly Occurs Within Six Hours as New Foldable Phone Raises Durability Concerns – Is the Viral Image AI or RealThe Sunday Guardian · 2 days agoiPhone Duo Internal Display Break Latest News: A newly purchased smartphone developing a display fault within hours of unboxing is an experience no customer expects however, a reported incident involving an iPhone Duo has raised questions…
Here are the top AI agents that can live in your text messagesTechCrunch · 35 h agoBuy One Founder Summit Ticket, Get a Second for Free. Register now. Rather than downloading another app, a growing number of agents can simply be texted like an ordinary person. You text it what you need, and it can remember context…
Saturday's Scottish Premiership & Championship LIVE: radio coverage & text commentaryBBC Sport · 36 h agoFT: Dundee United 3-2 Aberdeen - United take the lead for the third time in enthralling encounter FT: Falkirk 3-0 Kilmarnock - McCarthy's OG, Murrell header & another own goal from Stanger FT: Rangers 4-0 St Johnstone - Kelsy (2), Naderi &…
JMIR News: GLP-1 Ads’ Effects on Body Image; AI Initiatives for CPR and Gender-Based Violence Screening; Patient Perspectives; and Catching Postpartum Psychosis Earlynewswise.com · 2 days agoNewswise — (Toronto, October 23, 2026) — JMIR Publications released five News and Perspectives features on this week's digital health news, covering everything from AI-driven CPR training to the unknown psychological risks of GLP-1 ads…
Why does copied text look identical but break your code?DEV Community · 14 h agoThis is the clean version of the example: Inserting a zero-width space after count produces an error: The inserted character is U+200B. It has no visible width, so the two versions look the same. Python rejects it on that line. The first…
Irish Premiership - radio, text and in-play clips from Saturday gamesBBC Sport · 44 h agoHT: Bangor 1-0 Larne (18:00) Arthurs gives hosts the lead FT: Carrick Rangers 1-1 Limavady United Paul Heatley scores for hosts before Joe Crowe nets late own goal FT: Crusaders 0-5 Coleraine Scot Rough shown early red card for challenge…
Node.js Structured JSON Output: Text Summarization Schema Explained for Media CatalogsDEV Community · 18 h agoShort answer: for Node.js text summarization, use structured JSON output with a small schema, then validate it at the application boundary and record usage beside the tenant that caused it. The useful unit is not a pretty summary. It is a…
I'm Too Lazy to Write Alt Text, So Gemma Does It For MeDEV Community · 18 h agoEvery codebase I've touched has the same line in it: It's rarely because we don't care about accessibility. Describing forty images is just the most boring job in front-end, so it gets pushed to "later." So I built a VS Code extension that…
Text Summarization API Cost Comparison: Model Latency for Gaming ModerationDEV Community · 23 h agoShort answer: For a text summarization API cost comparison in Node.js, choose the model that clears your quality and latency gates at the lowest measured accepted cost, then recheck the result against the real gaming report mix. A gaming…
Texting With Teens: A Parent's Guide to Emoji Meanings Across GenerationsDEV Community · 15 h agoEmoji are a living language. Like slang, their meanings are shaped by how people use them, especially in online communities, social media trends and group chats. Younger users tend to adopt new meanings quickly, while older users often…

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Which company has the best AI model end of October?

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Google84%▼ 6
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OpenAI<1%

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Moonshot<1%
Alibaba<1%
Baidu<1%
Z.ai<1%
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ByteDance<1%
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MiniMax<1%
Mistral<1%
Meituan<1%
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Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

53%Anthropic

Anthropic53%▲ 4
Google37%▼ 4
OpenAI6%

12 more

Meta1%
xAI1%
Alibaba<1%
Moonshot<1%
DeepSeek<1%
Z.ai<1%
Mistral<1%
Microsoft<1%
ByteDance<1%
Meituan<1%
Amazon<1%
Baidu<1%

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Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

61%No release by October 31

No release by October 3161%▼ 8
October 2718%▲ 3
October 298%▲ 5

11 more

October 265%
October 303%▲ 2
October 283%▲ 1
October 201%▼ 12
October 31<1%▼ 2
October 19<1%▼ 2
October 21<1%▼ 5
October 22<1%▼ 14
October 23<1%▼ 4
October 24<1%
October 25<1%▼ 1

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Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1,410median

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20.29%median

15.2%22.8%

Median 20.29%Middle half 20.03% – 20.56%

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Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

Nov 11, 2026even chance by

October 21<1%▼ 12
October 22<1%▼ 14
October 24<1%▼ 1

2 more

October 3141%▲ 11
December 3194%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onArtificial Analysis - Image Arena

Trading closedOct 23, 2026 10:00 AM ET

Traded$50 (53 contracts)

This week$50

At stake$50

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If OpenAI is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Image Leaderboard on Oct 23, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Prices it is about

Alphabet Inc.GOOGL · about the company320.21−1.24%
Microsoft CorporationMSFT · about the company524.51+0.66%
NVIDIA CorporationNVDA · about the company210.96−0.59%

From 4Search Finance. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions