How high will the IBOVESPA get in 2026?

Kalshi Finance › Indexes Closes Jan 1, 2027 · $259 today · $7.1K traded · $6.1K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

$215,135median
$205,000$240,000
Median $215,135

How the odds have moved

Median: $217,250 on Oct 20, $215,135 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
✓ At least R$200,000 99% $1.01 2.6K
✓ At least R$205,000 99% $1.01 1.8K
At least R$210,000 71% ▼ 8 66¢ 76¢ $1.32 2.7K
At least R$215,000 51% ▼ 7 46¢ 55¢ $1.82 1.6K
At least R$220,000 32% ▼ 3 27¢ 37¢ $2.70 204
At least R$225,000 20% ▼ 1 15¢ 25¢ $4.00
At least R$230,000 11% ▼ 1 6¢ 16¢ $6.25
At least R$235,000 5% ▼ 2 10¢ $10.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: IBOVESPA

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  • Ibovespa Slips as Poll Shows Tight Presidential RaceTradingView · 4 days agoThe Ibovespa edged lower toward the 208,000 mark on Wednesday following a new poll on the presidential runoff between Senator Flávio Bolsonaro and President Lula. A Quaest poll showed a one-percentage-point gap between the candidates, with…
  • Ibovespa Slips Amid Weak Economic DataTradingView · 11 days agoThe Ibovespa edged down 0.2% to close at 206,506 on Wednesday in a volatile session amid weak economic data and an unfavorable external backdrop. Services activity contracted 0.1% in August, missing expectations for a 0.5% increase…
  • Ibovespa Falls as Banks Post LossesTradingView · 11 days agoThe Ibovespa fell about 1.5% to hover near 204,000 on Wednesday amid an unfavorable external backdrop. Oil prices extended gains, fueling concerns over energy-driven inflation, while higher-than-expected US CPI inflation pressured lenders…
  • Ibovespa Drops as Inflation Forecast RisesTradingView · 12 days agoThe Ibovespa fell 1% to close at 206,887 on Tuesday, weighed down by losses in major banks, utilities and mining stocks. The Focus survey raised its 2026 inflation forecast to 5.22% from 5.01%, marking a fourth consecutive increase, while…
  • Ibovespa Falls on Inflation and GDP OutlookTradingView · 12 days agoThe Ibovespa fell over 0.5% to hover below 208,000 on Tuesday, weighed down by losses in major banks, utilities and mining stocks. The Focus survey raised its 2026 inflation forecast to 5.22% from 5.01%, marking a fourth consecutive…
  • LatAm Opens Thin After Ibovespa’s 1.38% Gain | Pre-Open, Oct 12The Rio Times · 14 days agoLatin America opens Monday with a split personality: cheaper oil than its early-session peak, but a dollar that refuses to weaken. For a region that imports fuel and borrows in dollars, that is a mixed blessing. The early Brent spike above…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions