Glasgow City Council election winner? (2027)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes May 5, 2028 · prices read 11 h ago

The odds

72%SNP

SNP72%▲ 1
Labour17%▲ 1
Reform UK7%▲ 1
Greens4%▲ 1

How the odds have moved

SNP: 72% on Oct 19, 72% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays
SNP	72%	▲ 1	68¢	76¢	$1.32
Labour	17%	▲ 1	13¢	21¢	$4.76
Reform UK	7%	▲ 1	3¢	11¢	$9.09
Greens	4%	▲ 1	1¢	7¢	$14.29

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Glasgow City Council, Reform UK

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Glasgow City Council leader meets homelessness campaignersGlasgow Times · 2 days agoGlasgow’s new council leader has met with housing and homeless campaigners who have been vocal in their criticism of the local authority. Ricky Bell, who took over from Susan Aitken last month, has met with Colin McInnes, chair of Homeless…
Woke SNP-led Glasgow City Council remove mummies from exhibitions because they didn't 'consent' to be displayedScottish Daily Express · 4 days agoSeveral mummies were removed from the Egyptian Room at the Kelvingrove Art Gallery and Museum (Image: WIKIMEDIA COMMONS/OSAMA SHUKIR MUHAMMED AMIN FRCP (GLASG)) The SNP-led Glasgow City Council has been blasted after removing mummies from…
Reform UK Wales slated for 'shameful' Aberfan videoNation.Cymru · 39 h agoThere has been an outpouring of anger after Reform UK Wales posted an Aberfan ‘tribute’ video described as ‘opportunistic’ and ‘shameful’. The clip opens with Jenner mentioning Aberfan but as the video progresses she begins to promote…
Reform UK's £40billion plan of 'emergency cuts' to save 'broke Britain'Express.co.uk · 39 h agoMr Jenrick is calling on the Chancellor to use £18billion of savings to hike the tax-free personal allowance to £15,000. He argues this would “leave the average household £1,000 better off”. He said: “We can’t go on like this. Britain is…
Labour surge to their largest poll lead since the general election - with Tories ahead of Reform UK as Kemi Badenoch's popularity growsDaily Mail · 21 h agoLabour has surged to its largest poll lead since the 2024 general election as the party continues to enjoy a 'bounce' under Andy Burnham's leadership. The latest Ipsos survey puts Labour on 32 per cent support, which is up five percentage…
Reform UK’s support collapses in major boost for Burnham, new poll showsThe Independent · 22 h agoThe latest Ipsos poll would give Andy Burnham a majority for Labour in a general election Support for Nigel Farage’s Reform UK has collapsed, giving Kemi Badenoch’s Tories their biggest lead over them since the general election in 2024 and…
Reform UK's Suella Braverman claims massive taxpayer-funded water bill at home equal to 18 baths a dayDaily Mirror · 37 h agoReform MP Suella Braverman ran up a huge taxpayer-funded water bill at her family home – equivalent to 18 bathfuls a day. The former Home Secretary’s family got through 1,504 litres of water daily at her £1.2million four-bedroom pad in a…
Reform UK fined for failing to declare it was publisher of campaigns materialthe Guardian · 5 days agoParty given additional penalty by Electoral Commission for not paying original fine on time Reform UK has been fined more than £2,000 for failing to declare it was the publisher of campaign material seen by voters – including an additional…
Reform UK Donor’s Former Business Links to Iranian Foundation Revealed in French Court Documentseutoday.net · 3 days agoA French arbitration judgment has revealed that a British businessman who has become a financial supporter of Nigel Farage previously invested in an Iranian telecommunications venture partly owned by a religious foundation subsequently…
Reform UK donor had ties to Iran supreme leader-linked foundation - GuardianIran International · 3 days agoA billionaire donor to Britain’s Reform UK party was previously involved in a business venture with Astan Quds Razavi, a powerful Iranian religious foundation under the authority of the country’s supreme leader, the Guardian reported…
Who Is Hossein Ghandehari? What We Know About His Iran Business Ties and Reform UK SupportThe Sunday Guardian · 3 days agoThe business benefactor to Nigel Farage and Reform UK had once been associated with a prominent religious institution in Iran controlled by the supreme leader of the country, a new report has revealed. The disclosures have thrown doubts on…
Reform UK Scotland’s Terrible WeekBrig Newspaper · 4 days agoIn Politics, when it rains, it often pours. It’s rare to get just one piece of bad press in isolation, there’s very often a sudden pile-on. Few parties know this wisdom better than Reform UK, who have faced scandal after scandal throughout…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onGlasgow City Council

Trading closesMay 5, 2028 10:00 AM ET

Traded$0 (0 contracts)

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If SNP wins the 2027 Glasgow City Council election, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions