Brazil Presidential Election
>99%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva>99%▲ 81
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Install
German presidential election winner? (2027)
The odds
49%Ilse Aigner
- Ilse Aigner49%▲ 1
- Karin Prien15%▲ 1
- Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer12%▲ 1
- Julia Klöckner9%▲ 1
- Boris Rhein4%▲ 1
- Udo Di Fabio4%▲ 1
- Monika Grütters4%▲ 1
- Gabriele Krone-Schmalz2%
- Hape Kerkeling2%
How the odds have moved
Ilse Aigner: 47% on Oct 19, 49% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilse Aigner | 49% | ▲ 1 | 48¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | 939 |
| Karin Prien | 15% | ▲ 1 | 12¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 181 |
| Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer | 12% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | |
| Julia Klöckner | 9% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 187 |
| Boris Rhein | 4% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 161 |
| Udo Di Fabio | 4% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 80.00 |
| Monika Grütters | 4% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | |
| Gabriele Krone-Schmalz | 2% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | ||
| Hape Kerkeling | 2% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ilse Aigner, Karin Prien, Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer
Search ›-
Germany Politics Explained, Who Holds Power in 2026Germany is a democratic federal parliamentary republic where legislative power rests with the Bundestag and the Bundesrat, the body representing Germany’s regional states. The Federal Constitutional Court serves as the independent… -
Merz calls for unity as he warns of threats facing GermanyBERLIN (Reuters) : Chancellor Friedrich Merz called for unity in his struggling coalition on Saturday, saying Germany faced growing threats from political extremists and what he described as daily Russian efforts to destabilise the… -
Merz to address Bavarian conservatives amid doubts over his governmentGerman Chancellor Friedrich Merz is expected at the Munich exhibition hall on Saturday to close the two-day party conference of the Bavarian conservatives. Expectations among delegates for the speech by the leader of the conservative bloc… -
Germany plans social media ban for children under 13BERLIN (MNTV) – Germany’s Cabinet approved new guidelines Wednesday to protect children and teenagers online, including plans to ban children under 13 from using major social media platforms. The proposed restrictions would remain in place… -
Germany moves to ban social media for children under 13BERLIN, Oct 14 - Germany’s Cabinet has approved policy guidelines to better protect children and young people online, including a national ban on social networks for those under 13 until European rules take effect. Anadolu Ajansı reported… -
EU Criticizes Trump-Putin Diesel Deal as Germany Condemns US Policy on UkraineThe European Union has sharply criticized a reported diesel supply agreement between United States President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin, warning that easing sanctions against Moscow could provide the Kremlin with… -
Ukraine defends Zelensky as Trump’s remarks spark backlashUkrainian officials have defended President Volodymyr Zelensky after US President Donald Trump called for him to leave office, prompting sharply differing reactions from Moscow and European politicians. Ukraine’s Foreign Minister Andrii…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions