Brazil Presidential Election
77%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro77%▼ 2
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva23%▲ 1
Install
Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round) (Apr 18, 2027)
The odds
35%Jean-Luc Mélenchon
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon35%▼ 1
- Édouard Philippe22%▼ 3
- Raphaël Glucksmann11%▼ 1
- Gabriel Attal8%
- Marine Le Pen3%
- David Lisnard3%▼ 1
- Éric Zemmour2%
- François Hollande2%
- Marine Tondelier2%
- Xavier Bertrand2%
- Jordan Bardella2%
- François Ruffin2%
2 more
- Bruno Retailleau1%▼ 1
- Dominique de Villepin1%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 35% | ▼ 1 | 35¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | 488 |
| Édouard Philippe | 22% | ▼ 3 | 22¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 860 |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 11% | ▼ 1 | 9¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 9.2K |
| Gabriel Attal | 8% | 8¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 5.5K | |
| Marine Le Pen | 3% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 383 | |
| David Lisnard | 3% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 2.5K |
| Éric Zemmour | 2% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 383 | |
| François Hollande | 2% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 383 | |
| Marine Tondelier | 2% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 716 | |
| Xavier Bertrand | 2% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 1.0K | |
| Jordan Bardella | 2% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 716 | |
| François Ruffin | 2% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 1.0K | |
| Bruno Retailleau | 1% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.0K |
| Dominique de Villepin | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 383 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Édouard Philippe, Raphaël Glucksmann
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Related markets
All around the world ›Next French Presidential Election
46%Marine Le Pen
- Marine Le Pen46%▼ 2
- Édouard Philippe18%▼ 1
- David Lisnard12%
42 more
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon10%▲ 1
- Raphaël Glucksmann5%
- François Hollande2%
- Gabriel Attal1%
- Sarah Knafo1%
- Éric Zemmour1%
- Bruno Retailleau1%
- Christine Lagarde1%
- Jordan Bardella1%
- Dominique de Villepin1%
- Natacha Polony<1%
- Sébastien Lecornu<1%
- Xavier Bertrand<1%
- François Ruffin<1%
- Marine Tondelier<1%
- Ségolène Royal<1%
- François Asselineau<1%
- Jean Castex<1%
- Karim Bouamrane<1%
- Laurent Wauquiez<1%
- Fabien Roussel<1%
- Olivier Faure<1%
- Clémentine Autain<1%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan<1%
- Michel Barnier<1%
- Valérie Pécresse<1%
- François Bayrou<1%
- Élisabeth Borne<1%
- Yaël Braun-Pivet<1%
- Gérald Darmanin<1%
- Carole Delga<1%
- Bernard Cazeneuve<1%
- Manuel Bompard<1%
- Mathilde Panot<1%
- Juan Branco<1%
- Clémence Guetté<1%
- Lucie Castets<1%
- Yannick Jadot<1%
- François Baroin<1%
- Marion Maréchal<1%
- Anasse Kazib<1%
- Sylvain Durif<1%
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
44%Flávio Bolsonaro <4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro <4%44%▲ 6
- Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%27%▲ 1
- Lula da Silva <4%20%▲ 1
5 more
- Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%6%▼ 3
- Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+2%▼ 2
- Lula da Silva 4-8%1%
- Lula da Silva 8-12%<1%
- Lula da Silva 12%+<1%
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
21.6median
1639
Median 21.6Middle half 18.8 – 25.8
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
72%Yashar
- Yashar72%▲ 4
- Likud28%▼ 5
- Together<1%▼ 1
3 more
- Shas<1%
- The Democrats<1%
- Otzma Yehudit<1%
Taipei Mayor Election Winner
59%Chiang Wan-an
- Chiang Wan-an59%▼ 3
- Puma Shen41%▲ 3
- Kuo Hsi<1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.