Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
30%December 31
- June 30, 202730%▲ 1
- December 3130%▲ 2
Install
Will any court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?
The odds
7%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 7% on Oct 20, 7% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 7% | 5¢ | 9¢ | $11.36 | 65.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news
No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Related markets
All supreme court & courts ›Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
46%Ilhan Omar
- Ilhan Omar46%▲ 1
- Cassidy Hutchinson29%▼ 1
- John Brennan22%
40 more
- Dan J. Sullivan17%
- Anthony Fauci14%
- Fani Willis14%
- Jack Smith11%▼ 1
- Gustavo Petro11%▼ 1
- Lisa Cook10%
- James Clapper10%
- Andrew Weissmann10%
- Gavin Newsom10%
- Peter Strzok9%
- Hunter Biden9%
- Keith Ellison9%
- Tim Walz9%▼ 1
- Jennifer Siebel Newsom9%▲ 3
- Adam Schiff8%▼ 1
- Chris Krebs8%▲ 1
- Miles Taylor7%▲ 1
- Lisa Monaco7%
- Kimberly Guilfoyle7%
- Letitia James6%▼ 4
- Alvin Bragg6%▲ 2
- Jacob Frey6%▲ 1
- Mark Milley6%
- Elissa Slotkin6%
- Mark Kelly6%
- Liz Cheney6%
- Joe Kent6%
- Leon Black6%
- E. Jean Carroll6%
- Christopher Wray5%
- Chris Christie5%
- Tucker Carlson5%
- Reid Hoffman5%▲ 1
- George Soros5%
- Pam Bondi4%
- Jerome Powell4%▲ 1
- Hillary Clinton4%▼ 1
- Bill Clinton3%▼ 1
- Barack Obama3%
- Joe Biden3%
Who will be arrested in 2026?
36%Ilhan Omar
- Ilhan Omar36%▼ 7
- John Brennan22%▼ 1
- Mahmoud Khalil14%▲ 1
22 more
- Anthony Fauci9%
- Tom Homan9%▲ 3
- James Clapper8%▼ 2
- Letitia James8%
- Adam Schiff7%
- Lee Jae Myung6%▼ 1
- Lisa Cook6%
- Susan Rice6%
- Benjamin Netanyahu5%
- Candace Owens5%
- Lee Jun-seok5%
- Loretta Lynch4%
- José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero4%▼ 1
- Bill Clinton4%
- Hillary Clinton4%
- Pam Bondi4%
- Gavin Newsom3%
- John Kerry3%
- Brandon Johnson3%
- Kash Patel3%
- Joe Biden3%
- Barack Obama3%
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?
23%December 31, 2027
- December 31, 20264%
- December 31, 202723%
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?
28%chance
New Supreme Court justice confirmed? (Before Jan 21, 2029)
57%Before Jan 21, 2029
- Before Jan 21, 202957%
- Before 202842%▲ 1
- Before June 202719%
1 more
- Before 202717%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.