Finnish general election winner? (2027)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Apr 29, 2028 · $399 traded · $308 at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

71%Social Democratic Party

Social Democratic Party71%
National Coalition Party15%
Finns Party9%
Green League2%
Left Alliance2%

How the odds have moved

Social Democratic Party: 71% on Oct 19, 71% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Social Democratic Party	71%	69¢	76¢	$1.32	217
National Coalition Party	15%	12¢	19¢	$5.26	711
Finns Party	9%	5¢	13¢	$7.69	1.4K
Green League	2%	0¢	4¢	$22.73	7.00
Left Alliance	2%	0¢	4¢	$22.73	3.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Finnish, Social Democratic Party, National Coalition Party

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onMinistry of Justice, Election Unit

Trading closesApr 29, 2028 10:00 AM ET

Traded$399 (2,360 contracts)

This week$33

At stake$308

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If the winner of the next Finnish general election is National Coalition Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions