Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
197.7median
160230
Median 197.7Middle half 189.8 – 203.2
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Will FIFA scrap its Peace Prize at its December meeting? (Before Jan 1, 2027)
The odds
41%chance▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 40% on Oct 20, 41% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41% | ▲ 1 | 37¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 3.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Peace Prize, FIFA
Search ›-
Trump’s Fifa peace prize was a sham. A reimagined award can still have meaningThe first awarding marked the apex of Gianni Infantino’s hubris. A new version could highlight the good in the world of soccer You could give it to Ukrainian club Shakhtar Donetsk, for persevering and even thriving in spite of Russia’s… -
Machado can't give Nobel Peace Prize to Trump, organization saysJanuary 10, 2026 / 7:41 PM EST / CBS/AP The organization that oversees the Nobel Peace Prize is throwing cold water on talk of Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado giving her recent award to President Trump. Once the Nobel… -
The Nobel Peace Prize turned inside outThe committee cited Pillay for ensuring that genocide is prosecuted, yet the most prominent genocide charge of her career was a despicable libel. Opinion. The Nobel Peace Prize turned inside out -
Trump says 250% tariff threat stopped India-Pakistan war, regrets missing Nobel Peace prizeIndia Weekly - Do Not Process My Personal Information US president Donald Trump 'again' claimed his threat of 250 per cent tariffs helped stop the India-Pakistan conflict and again questioned why he had not received the Nobel Peace Prize… -
Protest Politics in Europe and Sri Lanka. Pakistan & the Nobel Peace PrizeSri Lanka turn a lost cause into a statement Dharmapala shine at All Island Schools Games Athletics Championship Nabi, Rashid and quicks lead Afghanistan to tri-series title Record number of entries for Arjan Perera Tennis Tourney Protest… -
Navi Pillay’s Nobel Peace Prize shows Africans shape global orderOn Oct. 9, in the gloom and doom triggered by migration- and immigration-related violence in the City of Durban, South Africa, the same city was in the news for a different but somewhat related development. Indeed, every cloud has a silver… -
Politics is ruining the Nobel Peace PrizeThe committee betrays its legacy by honouring such people as Navi Pillay The Nobel Peace Prize is in the news these days after the announcement that the 2026 laureate will be Navi Pillay, a South African judge who has had a long career on… -
Nobel Peace Prize goes to the world’s most slanderous UN antisemiteGiving the Nobel Peace Prize to Israel-hater Navi Pillay makes a mockery of the award and only fuels the global campaign to delegitimize the Jewish state. The Nobel Committee’s decision to announce the award in the midst of memorials to… -
The Contentious Matter of the Peace Prize Bestowed on a Jew-HaterThis year’s award to Navi Pillay brings to five the number of my countrymen on whom the Nobel committee bestowed the coveted Peace Prize. The others, except for the last of the Afrikaner leaders, were black struggle heroes. And he, De… -
Trump plots strategy to win Pulitzer award after Nobel Peace Prize snubPresident Donald Trump is in South Carolina as he continues his near-daily rallies to strengthen support from his GOP base. Today's address was intended to boost Sen. Darline Graham, who has struggled in her first campaign since replacing… -
Trump missed the Nobel Peace Prize. Now he wants a Pulitzer for his 'writing'US President Donald Trump, still fuming over missing out on the Nobel Peace Prize despite repeatedly claiming to have stopped multiple wars, has now set his sights on another coveted honour — the Pulitzer Prize. At a rally in South… -
Nobel Peace Prize winner speaks at World Food Prize event in IowaThe youngest Nobel Peace Prize winner in history delivered the keynote address at the World Food Prize Dialogue in Des Moines. Malala Yousafzai was 15 years old when she was shot on a school bus by a Taliban gunman for opposing education…
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When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Feb 19, 2028even chance by
- Before Nov 1, 20262%
- Before Dec 1, 20265%
- Before Jan 1, 20278%
14 more
- Before Feb 1, 20279%
- Before Mar 1, 202714%▼ 2
- Before Apr 1, 202718%
- Before May 1, 202720%▲ 1
- Before Jun 1, 202725%
- Before Jul 1, 202731%
- Before Aug 1, 202733%
- Before Sep 1, 202734%▼ 1
- Before Oct 1, 202737%
- Before Nov 1, 202741%
- Before Dec 1, 202741%
- Before Jan 1, 202848%▼ 1
- Before Jul 1, 202856%
- Before Jan 1, 202960%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.