Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before Oct 1, 2026
4%
$25.00
1.6K
Before Jan 1, 2027
23%
19¢
27¢
$3.70
128
Before Feb 1, 2027
38%
33¢
42¢
$2.38
Before Apr 1, 2027
53%
48¢
57¢
$1.75
97.00
Before Jul 1, 2027
59%
54¢
63¢
$1.59
59.00
Before Oct 1, 2027
64%
59¢
68¢
$1.47
56.00
Before Jan 1, 2028
68%
63¢
72¢
$1.39
142
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Federal Reserve Board of Governors, Federal Reserve
Could Donald Trump Save the Federal Reserve?The Epoch Times · 5 days agoSo who is Warsh? As an undergraduate at Stanford, he worked as a research assistant to Milton Friedman, and he has retained his teacher’s skepticism toward Federal Reserve overreach and intervention in financial markets. Friedman famously…
AI boom complicates Federal Reserve’s inflation fightFinance & Commerce · 5 days agoExplore the BridgeTower Media network. 36 publications across 4 industries. AI boom complicates Federal Reserve’s inflation fight Federal Reserve officials say rapid artificial intelligence investment by companies such as Amazon, Apple and…
Concept 31: The Federal Reserve StructureGeorgia Public Broadcasting · 6 days agoThe Federal Reserve is the central bank of the United States. It oversees the nation’s money supply (through monetary policy), processes payments, and supervises and regulates banks. The U.S. Congress created the Federal Reserve in 1913 in…
The Federal Reserve: What Has Already Been Priced In?Medium · 6 days agoOne of the recurring themes on Tech Trend Investments is the importance of understanding the relationship between monetary policy and financial markets. During the episode, Lizabeth and Joseph discussed how investors begin positioning…
K.C. Federal Reserve ag survey is positiveBrownfield Ag News · 8 days agoThe Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City has released results of its third quarter ag credit survey of ag bankers. As you might expect, it’s a very positive report. The survey showed that Tenth District farmland values hastened their climb…
Richmond Fed Employees Receive Prestigious Taylor Award@richmondfed · 5 days agoAs one of 12 regional Reserve Banks in the Federal Reserve System, we work for Americans — for you — to promote a sound financial system and a healthy economy. We conduct and publish economic research to inform monetary policy and public…
Caroline Shinkle: Why I’m running for Congress this yearNew York Daily News · 5 days agoNew York’s 12th Congressional District is at a historic crossroads. For decades, our vibrant community has been defined by its enduring position as a global engine of culture, intellect, and commerce. Yet today, many residents feel…
CVBA breakfast to feature Federal Reserve economist Ryo TashiroThe Sentinel · 8 days agoThe Cumberland Valley Business Alliance will bring a Federal Reserve economist to Chambersburg in December to provide an outlook on economic and labor market trends affecting the region. There is no denying the Pittsburgh Steelers are…
Economic Expert Christina Romer Examines Federal Reserve Pressures Facing Our NationAM 1240 WJON · 8 days agoDr. Christina Romer, who advised President Obama through the Great Recession, comes to St. Benedict Monday night to talk about what's keeping the Federal Reserve up at night these days. Economic Expert Christina Romer Examines Federal…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.
