Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
30%December 31
- June 30, 202730%▲ 3
- December 3130%▲ 1
Install
Will Trump win his BBC lawsuit? (Before 2028)
The odds
19%chance▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 19% on Oct 19, 19% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 19% | ▲ 1 | 16¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 3.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Trump
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Tracking Trump: Trump rolls back Canada tariffs; Melania Trump’s peace deal; Hegseth bans insider trading; and moreBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Trump rolled back some… -
Trump: Tariffs have made us richPresident Donald Trump discusses the impact of his tariffs on the United States at a midterm campaign rally in Fort Myers, Fla. Trump: Tariffs have made us rich President Donald Trump discusses the impact of his tariffs on the United… -
Biden’s economy keeps messing up Trump’s message“You can’t blame the president when policies go wrong, and then say he’s not responsible if things are going right.” On Monday, former President Donald Trump claimed on Truth Social that voters were already enjoying a "TRUMP STOCK MARKET"… -
Trump calls for Ilhan Omar's RESIGNATION'Lock her up!' chants erupt from the crowd at President Donald Trump's Iowa rally as he calls on Democratic Rep. Ilhan Omar to resign from Congress. Trump calls for Ilhan Omar's RESIGNATION 'Lock her up!' chants erupt from the crowd at… -
Melania Trump adviser shares INSIDE LOOK at ceasefire agreementMarc Beckman, a senior advisor to Melania Trump, joins 'Fox & Friends Weekend' to discuss the first lady's humanitarian efforts in Ukraine. Melania Trump adviser shares INSIDE LOOK at ceasefire agreement Marc Beckman, a senior advisor to… -
Trump spars with reporter on Ramaswamy adPresident Trump sparred with a reporter over a controversial campaign ad from Ohio gubernatorial candidate Vivek Ramaswamy's campaign featuring the estranged mother of opponent Amy Acton. Trump spars with reporter on Ramaswamy ad President… -
Trump Asked Google To Rename Atlantic Ocean ‘Trump Ocean’Oct 22, 2026 at 04:59 AM EDT Oct 22, 2026 at 06:17 AM EDT President Donald Trump has claimed he spoke to Google about renaming a body of water after himself, saying the technology company rejected the idea because oceans border multiple… -
BREAKING: Melania Trump secures localized Ukraine ceasefireFirst lady Melania Trump announces she has personally secured a localized ceasefire in the city of Oleshky in southern Ukraine, allowing humanitarian aid to enter and civilians to evacuate safely. BREAKING: Melania Trump secures localized… -
Trump defends Ramaswamy ad despite bipartisan backlashCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Trump defends… -
Trump GOES AFTER Ilhan Omar at rallyPresident Donald Trump mocks Rep. Ilhan Omar's "not to my knowledge" response when asked whether she was related to her former husband, bringing up the viral exchange during his campaign rally in Iowa ... Trump GOES AFTER Ilhan Omar at… -
Jesse Watters: Love was in the air for Trump in FloridaFox News host Jesse Watters discusses President Donald Trump’s midterm blitz on ‘Jesse Watters Primetime.’ ... Jesse Watters: Love was in the air for Trump in Florida Fox News host Jesse Watters discusses President Donald Trump’s midterm… -
Democrats face crack-up on Trump’s tariffsTrump’s aggressive — and unpopular — use of tariffs in his second term has created an opening for more trade-friendly voices in the party, after a decade in the political wilderness. Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate Abdul El-Sayed speaks…
Related markets
All supreme court & courts ›Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
49%Ilhan Omar
- Ilhan Omar49%▲ 4
- Cassidy Hutchinson29%▼ 3
- John Brennan22%
40 more
- Dan J. Sullivan17%▼ 2
- Anthony Fauci14%
- Fani Willis14%
- Gustavo Petro12%
- Jack Smith11%▼ 2
- Lisa Cook10%▼ 1
- Tim Walz10%
- James Clapper10%
- Andrew Weissmann10%
- Gavin Newsom10%
- Peter Strzok9%▼ 1
- Hunter Biden9%
- Keith Ellison9%
- Adam Schiff9%
- Jennifer Siebel Newsom9%▲ 3
- Chris Krebs8%
- Alvin Bragg7%▲ 3
- Miles Taylor7%▲ 1
- Lisa Monaco7%
- Kimberly Guilfoyle7%
- Letitia James6%▼ 4
- Jacob Frey6%▲ 1
- Mark Milley6%
- Elissa Slotkin6%
- Liz Cheney6%
- Mark Kelly6%
- Joe Kent6%▲ 1
- Leon Black6%
- E. Jean Carroll6%▼ 1
- Christopher Wray5%
- Chris Christie5%
- Tucker Carlson5%
- Reid Hoffman5%▲ 1
- George Soros5%
- Pam Bondi4%
- Jerome Powell4%
- Hillary Clinton4%▼ 1
- Bill Clinton3%▼ 1
- Barack Obama3%
- Joe Biden3%▼ 1
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?
23%December 31, 2027
- December 31, 20264%
- December 31, 202723%
Who will be arrested in 2026?
34%Ilhan Omar
- Ilhan Omar34%▼ 5
- John Brennan23%▲ 1
- Mahmoud Khalil14%▲ 1
22 more
- Anthony Fauci9%
- Tom Homan9%▲ 3
- James Clapper8%▼ 2
- Letitia James8%
- Adam Schiff7%
- Susan Rice6%▲ 1
- Lee Jae Myung6%▼ 1
- Lisa Cook6%
- Candace Owens5%
- Benjamin Netanyahu5%
- Lee Jun-seok5%
- Loretta Lynch4%
- José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero4%
- Hillary Clinton4%
- Bill Clinton4%
- Gavin Newsom3%▲ 1
- John Kerry3%
- Brandon Johnson3%
- Pam Bondi3%
- Barack Obama3%
- Joe Biden3%
- Kash Patel3%
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?
28%chance
New Supreme Court justice confirmed? (Before Jan 21, 2029)
57%Before Jan 21, 2029
- Before Jan 21, 202957%
- Before 202841%▼ 1
- Before June 202719%
1 more
- Before 202717%▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.