Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)
91%chance
Install
Which companies will be removed from the Dow Jones Industrial Average in 2026?
The odds
18%Nike
Dow 30 now 52,215.16 −1.23% - Nike18%▼ 1
- Goldman Sachs Group9%▲ 1
- Sherwin-Williams9%▲ 1
- Travelers Cos8%▲ 1
- Home Depot6%▲ 1
- American Express6%▲ 1
- Caterpillar5%▲ 1
- Amgen4%▲ 1
- Salesforce4%▲ 1
- Cisco Systems2%
- Amazon2%
- Boeing2%
16 more
- Chevron2%
- Coca-Cola2%
- Honeywell International2%
- International Business Machines Corp2%
- Johnson & Johnson2%
- JPMorgan Chase2%
- McDonald's2%
- Merck2%
- Procter & Gamble2%
- UnitedHealth Group2%
- Visa2%
- Walmart2%
- Walt Disney2%
- Apple1%
- Microsoft1%
- NVIDIA1%
How the odds have moved
Nike: 22% on Oct 19, 18% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nike | 18% | ▼ 1 | 17¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 2.1K |
| Goldman Sachs Group | 9% | ▲ 1 | 7¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 691 |
| Sherwin-Williams | 9% | ▲ 1 | 7¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 312 |
| Travelers Cos | 8% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 1.5K |
| Home Depot | 6% | ▲ 1 | 4¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 213 |
| American Express | 6% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 430 |
| Caterpillar | 5% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 19.00 |
| Amgen | 4% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | |
| Salesforce | 4% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 2.00 |
| Cisco Systems | 2% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 16.00 | ||
| Amazon | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 3.00 | ||
| Boeing | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 94.00 | ||
| Chevron | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 786 | ||
| Coca-Cola | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | |||
| Honeywell International | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 141 | ||
| International Business Machines Corp | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 4.00 | ||
| Johnson & Johnson | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | |||
| JPMorgan Chase | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 2.00 | ||
| McDonald's | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 65.00 | ||
| Merck | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | |||
| Procter & Gamble | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 2.00 | ||
| UnitedHealth Group | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 2.00 | ||
| Visa | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 2.00 | ||
| Walmart | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 1.00 | ||
| Walt Disney | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 61.00 | ||
| Apple | 1% | 3¢ | $33.33 | |||
| Microsoft | 1% | 3¢ | $33.33 | |||
| NVIDIA | 1% | 3¢ | $33.33 | 2.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Dow Jones, Dow, Dow Jones Industrial Average
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S&P 500 (SPY) And Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Slide As Oil Prices Surge And AI Profitability Fears PersistBy David Prior | Oct 24, 2026 | Economy & Business, Featured, News & Analysis Wall Street closed a bruising week on shaky ground Friday, with major indexes extending losses driven by rising oil prices and deepening skepticism around… -
Dow Jones Industrial Average Trades Near 52,500 After 1% Gain on Earnings as Futures Signal Further StrengthInternational Business Times Australia The Dow Jones Industrial Average stood at 52,471.56 in early trading on October 21, 2026, holding near recent levels after closing the prior session at 52,495.88, up 529.85 points or 1.02 percent The… -
Dow Jones Industrial Average Rises on Upbeat Earnings and Falling Oil PricesAt SSBCrack News, our dedicated editorial team brings you the latest and most reliable updates on Defence, Geopolitics, Military Affairs, Science, and Technology. Driven by a passion for national security and strategic awareness, the… -
Dow Jones Industrial Average climbs with the AI trade, led by a bankThe Dow adds up share prices rather than company values, so a stock's weight is its dollar price. Goldman Sachs closed near $900 a share and Nvidia (NVDA) near $220, which made Goldman's rise of just over 2% worth more than 100 index… -
LeGrand (OTCMKTS:LGRDY) Upgraded at The Goldman Sachs GroupPosted by Defense World Staff on Oct 24th, 2026 The Goldman Sachs Group upgraded shares of LeGrand (OTCMKTS:LGRDY – Free Report) from a hold rating to a strong-buy rating in a report released on Wednesday morning,Zacks reports. Check Out… -
The Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE:GS) Stock Price Down 1.6% – Here’s WhyPosted by Kim Johansen on Oct 24th, 2026 The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (NYSE:GS – Get Free Report)’s share price fell 1.6% during mid-day trading on Thursday. The stock traded as low as $881.00 and last traded at $889.9490. 2,029,297… - Wall Street Zen Upgrades The Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE:GS) to BuyMarketBeat Wall Street Zen Upgrades The Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE:GS) to Buy - Wall Street Zen upgraded Goldman Sachs from “Hold” to “Buy,” although the broader analyst consensus remains “Hold,” with a consensus price target of $1,052.48…
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Dow Jones Industrial Average rises on earnings, cheaper Crude Oil | FXStreetArtificial intelligence (AI) stocks pulled the NASDAQ 100 lower, but the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose to its highest in more than five weeks on earnings and cheaper Crude Oil. It climbed from the opening bell to just above 52,700. It… -
The Goldman Sachs Group Upgrades Taylor Wimpey (OTCMKTS:TWODY) to “Hold”Posted by Michael Walen on Oct 23rd, 2026 Taylor Wimpey (OTCMKTS:TWODY – Get Free Report) was upgraded by equities researchers at The Goldman Sachs Group from a “strong sell” rating to a “hold” rating in a research report issued on… -
Yaskawa Electric (OTCMKTS:YASKY) Rating Lowered to “Hold” at The Goldman Sachs GroupPosted by Michael Walen on Oct 23rd, 2026 Yaskawa Electric (OTCMKTS:YASKY – Get Free Report) was downgraded by equities research analysts at The Goldman Sachs Group from a “strong-buy” rating to a “hold” rating in a research note issued on… -
the goldman sachs group inc. - GSOct 23, 2026, 3:59 PM EDT Goldman Sachs discusses why conflict resolution and capital structure decisions are vital for family business succession planning long-term. Jamie Dimon, David Solomon and other U.S. executives praised the Trump… -
Dow Jones Today: Dow Futures Fall 0.6% to 52,749 as Oil Prices Surge Above $114, Nvidia and AI Stocks Face Selling Pressure Amid US-Iran Tensions; Check What Investors Should KnowUS stock futures moved lower on Friday after technology stocks led a sharp decline during the previous trading session. Investors remained cautious as rising energy prices and uncertainty surrounding US-Iran negotiations added pressure to…
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What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
$777.25high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $777.25 and as low as $751.74.
- Reaches $770>99%
- Reaches $78031%
- Falls to $760>99%
- Falls to $75040%
Already reached: ↑ $780, ↑ $770, ↓ $760, ↑ $770, ↑ $770, ↓ $770
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
48%↑ $8,000
Traders see as low as 7,307.
- Reaches 8,00048%
- Reaches 8,20021%
- Falls to 7,40066%
- Falls to 7,20032%
Already reached: ↑ $7,800, ↑ $7,600, ↑ $7,400, ↓ $6,600, ↓ $6,400
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions