How high will the Dow Jones Industrial Average get in 2026?

Kalshi Finance › Indexes Closes Jan 1, 2027 · $2.8K traded · $2.1K at stake · prices read 47 min ago

The odds

54,667median

Dow 30 now 52,215.16 −1.23%

53,00061,000

Median 54,667Middle half 54,327 – 55,040

How the odds have moved

Median: 54,671 on Oct 3, 54,667 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
At least $54,000	99%	▲ 1	98¢		$1.01	1.1K
At least $55,000	26%	▼ 2	23¢	28¢	$3.57	4.4K
At least $56,000	13%		8¢	18¢	$5.56	3.4K
At least $57,000	6%		2¢	9¢	$11.11	1.1K
At least $58,000	4%	▲ 1	1¢	7¢	$14.29	857
At least $59,000	3%		1¢	5¢	$20.00	939
At least $60,000	3%		1¢	5¢	$20.00	71.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Dow Jones, Dow, Dow Jones Industrial Average

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S&P 500 (SPY) And Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Slide As Oil Prices Surge And AI Profitability Fears Persistforeignpolicyjournal.com · 22 h agoBy David Prior | Oct 24, 2026 | Economy & Business, Featured, News & Analysis Wall Street closed a bruising week on shaky ground Friday, with major indexes extending losses driven by rising oil prices and deepening skepticism around…
Dow Jones Industrial Average Trades Near 52,500 After 1% Gain on Earnings as Futures Signal Further StrengthInternational Business Times · 4 days agoInternational Business Times Australia The Dow Jones Industrial Average stood at 52,471.56 in early trading on October 21, 2026, holding near recent levels after closing the prior session at 52,495.88, up 529.85 points or 1.02 percent The…
Dow Jones Industrial Average climbs with the AI trade, led by a bankFXStreet · 4 days agoThe Dow adds up share prices rather than company values, so a stock's weight is its dollar price. Goldman Sachs closed near $900 a share and Nvidia (NVDA) near $220, which made Goldman's rise of just over 2% worth more than 100 index…
Dow Jones Industrial Average Rises on Upbeat Earnings and Falling Oil PricesSSBCrack News · 4 days agoAt SSBCrack News, our dedicated editorial team brings you the latest and most reliable updates on Defence, Geopolitics, Military Affairs, Science, and Technology. Driven by a passion for national security and strategic awareness, the…
Dow Jones Futures Due For Doom-And-Bloom Market; Microsoft, Google, Amazon Earnings AheadYahoo Finance · 6 h agoThe S&P 500 and Nasdaq are below key levels, but many non-AI stocks are flashing buy signals. Microsoft, Google, Amazon loom. Oops, something went wrong Dow Jones Futures Due For Doom-And-Bloom Market; Microsoft, Google, Amazon Earnings…
Dow Jones Industrial Average rises on earnings, cheaper Crude Oil | FXStreetشبكة تواصل الإخبارية · 5 days agoArtificial intelligence (AI) stocks pulled the NASDAQ 100 lower, but the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose to its highest in more than five weeks on earnings and cheaper Crude Oil. It climbed from the opening bell to just above 52,700. It…
Dow Jones Futures Loom; Microsoft, Google, Amazon Earnings Due In Doom-And-Bloom MarketYahoo Finance · 8 h agoThe S&P 500 and Nasdaq are below key levels, but many non-AI stocks are flashing buy signals. Microsoft, Google, Amazon loom. Oops, something went wrong Dow Jones Futures Loom; Microsoft, Google, Amazon Earnings Due In Doom-And-Bloom…
Dow Jones Today: Dow Futures Fall 0.6% to 52,749 as Oil Prices Surge Above $114, Nvidia and AI Stocks Face Selling Pressure Amid US-Iran Tensions; Check What Investors Should KnowThe Sunday Guardian · 2 days agoUS stock futures moved lower on Friday after technology stocks led a sharp decline during the previous trading session. Investors remained cautious as rising energy prices and uncertainty surrounding US-Iran negotiations added pressure to…
US Stock Market Today: Dow Jones Futures Fall 0.6%, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Futures Slide as Oil Surges Above $114 Amid US-Iran Tensions, AI Selloff and Inflation Concerns; Check What Investors Should KnowThe Sunday Guardian · 2 days agoAccording to early market updates, Dow Jones futures declined around 0.6%, while S&P 500 futures fell approximately 0.3% and Nasdaq futures slipped 0.1% on Friday. Rising oil prices and uncertainty surrounding Middle East negotiations are…
US Stock Market Today LIVE: Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Open Lower as AI Stock Sell-Off, Surging Oil Prices and Middle East Tensions Weigh on Wall Street; Check What Investors Should KnowThe Sunday Guardian · 2 days agoAccording to Reuters, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 171.30 points, or 0.32%, to 52,696.70 at the opening bell. The S&P 500 declined 26.20 points, or 0.34%, to 7,637.18, while the Nasdaq Composite dropped 114.90 points, or 0.44%, to…
Dow Jones Today LIVE: Index Falls 1% as Oil Prices Surge & AI Stock Sell-Off Hits Wall Street; Nvidia, Microsoft & Telecom Shares in Focus Amid Fed Rate Hike Fears; Check What Investors Should WatchThe Sunday Guardian · 2 days agoAccording to Reuters, the Dow Jones fell 535.54 points, or 1.01%, to 52,332.44 at 9:53 a.m. Eastern Time on Friday. The S&P 500 declined 0.38% to 7,634.09, while the Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.08% to 25,986.76 at the same time. These…
Dow Jones Rally: What Is Fueling Wall Street Gains Today?@analyticsinme · 3 days agoDow Jones closed at 52,494.88, lifted by strong 3M and Northrop Grumman earnings. The Fed's October 27-28 meeting remains the market's biggest near-term catalyst. Weak jobs and housing data signal a cooling economy, raising rate-cut odds…

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Finance › Indexes

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 19 2026?

$772.50high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $772.50 and as low as $757.50.

Reaches $770>99%
Reaches $775<1%

Falls to $765>99%
Falls to $760>99%

Already reached: ↑ $765

Finance › Indexes

Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)

90%chance▼ 1

Finance › Indexes

10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?

5.31%median

1.74%8.24%

Median 5.31%Middle half 4.07% – 6.42%

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IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026

214,700median

189,000221,000

Median 214,700Middle half 210,225 – 218,222

Finance › Indexes

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

48%↑ $8,000

Traders see as low as 7,307.

Reaches 8,00048%
Reaches 8,20021%

Falls to 7,40066%
Falls to 7,20032%

Already reached: ↑ $7,800, ↑ $7,600, ↑ $7,400, ↓ $6,600, ↓ $6,400

Finance › Indexes

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?

$775.95high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $775.95 and as low as $751.31.

Reaches $770>99%
Reaches $78016%

Falls to $760>99%
Falls to $75043%

Already reached: ↑ $780, ↑ $770, ↓ $760, ↑ $770, ↑ $770, ↓ $770

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onTrading View

Trading closesJan 1, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$2.8K (11,893 contracts)

At stake$2.1K

In the news17 headlines today, 269 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If the value of Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is at least $54,000 in from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Prices it is about

Dow 30^DJI · settles on its price52,215.16−1.23%
DIADIA · tracks it521.37−1.24%
Dow FuturesYM=F · tracks it52,394.00−1.27%

From 4Search Finance. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions