DeepSeek share of requests on Nov 4, 2026 (Vercel)

Kalshi Tech › AI Closes Wed 11:59 PM ET · $12 today · $12 traded · $12 at stake · prices read 81 min ago

The odds

55%Above 14.2%

10.4%14.6%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Above 11.8%	77%	67¢	81¢	$1.23	3.00
Above 13.2%	62%	57¢	66¢	$1.52	16.00
Above 13.8%	55%	51¢	59¢	$1.69
Above 14.2%	55%	50¢	59¢	$1.69

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: DeepSeek, Vercel

Search ›

Vercel CI vs GitHub Actions for Next.js: which to useDEV Community · 8 h agoEverything below was checked against Vercel's and GitHub's own docs and pricing pages on 2 November 2026. Vercel CI is a beta from 28 October, so treat the numbers as a snapshot, not a contract. Vercel announced Vercel CI in beta on 28…
DeepSeek launches "Super-Agent"DEV Community · 16 h agoDeepSeek launches "Super-Agent," a new open-source AI coding agent designed to rival Anthropic's... Tagged with ai, deepseek. DeepSeek launches "Super-Agent," a new open-source AI coding agent designed to rival Anthropic's Claude Code…
TanStack AI vs Vercel AI SDK: The One I Would ShipDEV Community · 14 h agoMy judgment: for tool inputs and message shapes, call it even. For model options - the surface where provider differences actually bite, where one model takes reasoning effort and another takes a thinking budget - per-model typing is the…
Vercel agent-desktop Ships Computer Use via UIA Trees, Not PixelsDEV Community · 14 h agoOn 31 October 2026 Vercel Labs released agent-desktop, an open-source CLI and C library that gives any coding agent computer use on macOS, Windows and Linux. It does not take screenshots and ask a vision model to guess button coordinates…
Investigating a traffic spike with Vercel Analytics and first-party eventsDEV Community · 16 h agoA traffic spike on a small website can be surprisingly difficult to explain. On October 28, my text graphics tool, GummyType, received a sudden increase in visits. I hadn't run a campaign or a batch test. I used three sources to…
DeepSeek designs AI agent system to cut human oversight@thecryptupdates · 14 h agoDeepSeek targets the human attention bottleneck DeepSeek has outlined a design for AI coding assistants that can handle more tasks with less human input. The work comes from the company’s DeepSeek Harness team, according to a paper…
DeepSeek's New Open-Source Coding Agent Writes Pull Requests for YouDEV Community · 14 h agoMost coding agents wait for you to ask. DeepSeek's new one doesn't. On October 31, the Chinese AI lab open-sourced dsh-superagent — a prototype coding agent that watches a team's GitHub repository, picks up requests, and answers with…
Tsinghua and Microsoft researchers cut DeepSeek Harness token use by 88% with HarnessMMCrypto Briefing · 10 h agoA new preprint shows AI coding agents can skip predictable model calls, using far fewer tokens while succeeding more often AI coding agents talk to themselves a lot. A new paper from Tsinghua University and Microsoft Research Asia suggests…
Check the API catalog before configuring DeepSeek V4.1 FlashDEV Community · 15 h agoDisclosure: this guide is from the RouterBase team. DeepSeek V4.1 Flash is now available on RouterBase. One integration detail is easy to miss: a model page's URL slug is not necessarily its API identifier. For this model, the catalog…
My DeepSeek Harness plugins as of Nov 26DEV Community · 19 h agoI run a one-person studio, and DeepSeek Harness (DSH) is where I spend my working day: chats with agents that write code, run shell commands and produce documents on my own server. DSH has a plugin system, and over the last two months I…
DeepSeek dsh-superagent: Router-Worker Isolation for Parallel Coding SessionsDEV Community · 14 h agoDeepSeek’s own simulation numbers are modest but directional: under a noisy message stream the router-worker design finished tasks with a p95 of 15.7 minutes versus 29.5 minutes for a single-session baseline. The architecture note is more…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onVercel AI Gateway Leaderboards - Labs

Trading closesNov 4, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$12 (19 contracts)

Today$12

This week$12

At stake$12

Followed here sinceOct 31, 2026

The rules

If the DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs for Nov 4, 2026 is above 11.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Prices it is about

NOV Inc.NOV · about the company19.12−0.88%

From 4Search Finance. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions