Trump out as President before 2027?
5%chance
Install
When will the DOJ release Data Set 13?
The odds
10%Before 2027
- Before 202710%
How the odds have moved
Before 2027: 10% on Oct 20, 10% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2027 | 10% | 7¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 15.1K | |
| Before September | 7% | $14.08 | 34.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Data Set, Document
Search ›-
New AI model TabPFN enables faster and more accurate predictions on small tabular data setsMaterials provided by University of Freiburg. Note: Content may be edited for style and length. NASA Is About to Investigate What Lies Beneath a Giant Hole on the Moon NASA Captures a Strange Formation on Earth With a Surprising Lunar… -
Around the Net In Media: Media Bias Detector Releases Data Set On The 2024 ElectionThe Media Bias Detector, a project that uses artificial intelligence to analyze news articles for topic, tone and political leaning, has published a data set consisting of more than 140,000 articles published during the 2024 U.S… -
O.J. Simpson may have had help in murders: Court documentsFox News senior correspondent Eric Shawn has the latest on a new report suggesting O.J. Simpson may have had a mob-connected accomplice in the murders on 'America Reports.' ... O.J. Simpson may have had help in murders: Court documents Fox… -
Simpson 'Dream Team' member says case is not closed after court documents suggest accompliceO.J. Simpson defense attorney Alan Dershowitz joins 'America Reports' to discuss unsealed court documents linking a dead mobster to the infamous murder case. Simpson 'Dream Team' member says case is not closed after court documents suggest… -
Exhibit displaying documents tied to Jeffrey Epstein opens in DetroitOctober 19, 2026 / 6:09 PM EDT / CBS Detroit Rows of bound books now fill a room at the Norwood in Detroit, containing more than 3,000 volumes of partially redacted documents tied to Jeffrey Epstein. Along with the massive scale of records… -
Uefa gives Infantino two-week deadline to release key documentsGianni Infantino has been president of Fifa since 2016 and is standing for re-election for a third time European governing body Uefa has told Fifa it must release key documents relating to its governance and decision-making by a deadline… -
Criminal informant may be linked to O.J. Simpson case, court documents revealFox News Criminal informant may be linked to O.J. Simpson case, court documents reveal Fox News senior correspondent Eric Shawn has the latest on court documents revealing a possible accomplice in the O.J. Simpson case on 'The Ingraham… -
Uefa demands Fifa releases documents relating to World Cup sell-off schemeEuropean governing body gives two-week deadline Letter addresses other issues including Balogun affair Uefa has given Fifa a two-week deadline to release key documents relating to Gianni Infantino’s World Cup sell-off plan and other… -
Marine technician documents Antarctica's warming climateThe Weather Channel Marine technician crosses world's roughest sea to document Antarctica Stunning lenticular clouds glow pink and orange at sunset Scary moment bison charges, rams truck at Yellowstone caught on camera Dog lost in Alaska… -
Trump aide Walt Nauta front and center during contentious hearing in classified documents caseMay 22, 2024 / 6:32 PM EDT / CBS News Washington — As former President Donald Trump's "hush money" criminal trial in New York proceeds to closing arguments next week, the legal focus is moving south. His attorneys and longtime aide Walt… -
Govt approves High Court application on Bessborough documentsIt follows widespread calls from campaigners and survivors, as well as Cork City Council, for the Government to release burial records from the Institution, held within the archive of the Commission of Investigation into Mother and Baby… -
Document and Pattern Recognition LabThe Document and Pattern Recognition Lab started in Summer 2007. We research pattern recognition and machine learning techniques for extracting and searching information in documents and videos. Our work has appeared in top venues…
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All trump administration ›Next Press Secretary announced by...?
Dec 13, 2027even chance by
- October 318%▼ 3
- November 3042%▼ 2
- December 3163%▼ 5
What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?
>99%Transgender 5+ times
- Transgender 5+ times>99%▲ 22
- SI / Super Intelligence>99%▲ 33
- Star>99%▲ 59
19 more
- Gay / Palestine>99%▲ 79
- Biden / Kamala / Obama 10+ times>99%▲ 13
- Regulation / Regulatory100%▲ 72
- Ass1%▼ 64
- Bull / Bullshit1%▼ 40
- Fertilizer / Rural1%▼ 47
- Animal1%▼ 62
- Drag Show1%▼ 64
- Maduro1%▼ 26
- Data Center / Electric / Electricity1%▼ 38
- Russia / Ukraine1%▼ 72
- Hormuz / Blockade1%▼ 58
- Fentanyl / Deport / Deported1%▼ 32
- America First / Gulf of America1%▼ 62
- Hell 15+ times<1%▼ 54
- Tax 33+ times<1%▼ 45
- AI / Artificial Intelligence<1%▼ 45
- Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency<1%▼ 2
- -No Qualifying Event-<1%▼ 3
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 21, 2026?
38.61%median
38.55%39.25%
Median 38.61%Middle half 38.58% – 38.64%
Next Press Secretary?
15%Anna Kelly
- Anna Kelly15%▲ 1
- Scott Jennings13%
- Kari Lake10%▲ 7
28 more
- Maria Bartiromo7%▲ 2
- Elizabeth Pipko6%
- Katie Miller4%▲ 3
- Beni Rae Harmony4%▲ 1
- Kayleigh McEnany4%▲ 1
- Harrison Fields3%
- Margo Martin3%▲ 1
- Alina Habba3%▼ 1
- Lauren Bis3%
- Steven Cheung2%
- Taylor Rogers2%
- Monica Crowley2%▲ 2
- Natalie Harp2%
- Katie Pavlich2%▲ 1
- Tricia McLaughlin2%
- Laura Loomer2%▲ 2
- Lara Trump2%
- Karoline Leavitt2%
- Liz Huston1%▲ 1
- Rachel Campos-Duffy1%
- Hogan Gidley1%
- Kush Desai1%
- Pat Adams1%
- Kaelan Dorr1%
- Ari Fleischer1%
- Spencer Pratt1%
- Matthew Boyle<1%
- Jake Paul<1%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
3%chance
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.