Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
- James Talarico65%
- Ken Paxton36%
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Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire? (Nov 3, 2026)
The odds
81%Michigan US Senate
- Michigan US Senate81%▲ 3
- New Hampshire US Senate21%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Michigan US Senate: 72% on Oct 20, 81% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan US Senate | 81% | ▲ 3 | 81¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 7.1K |
| New Hampshire US Senate | 21% | ▼ 1 | 20¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 8.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Closer Senate, New Hampshire, Michigan
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Michigan US Senate race is ‘still competitive,’ Democratic congresswoman saysRep. Debbie Dingell, D-Mich., discusses the Michigan U.S. Senate race between GOP nominee Mike Rogers and Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed on ‘The Story.’ Michigan US Senate race is ‘still competitive,’ Democratic congresswoman says Rep… -
Michigan US Senate battle: El-Sayed, Rogers spar in final debateFox News Michigan US Senate battle: El-Sayed, Rogers spar in final debate Fox News senior national correspondent Rich Edson reports on Michigan voters' reactions to the U.S. Senate debate between Mike Rogers and Abdul El-Sayed as Election… -
Michigan US Senate Debate Reactions | MichMashWith Election Day just weeks away, MichMash examines the candidates’ performances and what’s at stake in one of the nation’s most closely watched races. Michigan’s U.S. Senate race between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and former U.S. Rep. Mike… -
US supreme court sides with Republicans on rejecting student IDs in New Hampshire midtermsVoting rights advocates say directive would disenfranchise young and low-income voters, but Republicans say it’s needed to combat voter fraud The US supreme court has cleared the way for New Hampshire to prohibit student IDs as a form of… -
Supreme Court blocks use of student IDs as voter identification in New HampshireFirst Assistant U.S. Attorney Bill Essayli examines the growing dispute over voter eligibility verification in California. Los Angeles County election officials acknowledge they lack the resources to verify the citizenship status of… -
Supreme Court says New Hampshire can limit use of student IDs for votingThe Supreme Court on Thursday allowed New Hampshire officials to limit when voters may use a student ID to receive a ballot, agreeing that a lower court ruling that blocked enforcement of the policy was too close to Election Day. The… -
Supreme Court rules New Hampshire can ban use of student IDs for midterm votersOctober 22, 2026 / 7:53 PM EDT / CBS/AP The Supreme Court cleared the way Thursday for New Hampshire to fully ban the use of student IDs for voting during the midterm elections. The justices granted a Republican-backed emergency appeal and… -
Michigan US Senate debate: Abdul El-Sayed, Mike Rogers clash over taxes, healthcare, immigrationClickOnDetroit | WDIV Local 4 Rogers, El-Sayed battle over immigration, health care, and Iran in Michigan Senate debate Evacuation zone reduced: Toledo evacuation zone shrinks as chemical leak concerns ease Monroe community mourns loss of… -
Supreme Court says New Hampshire student IDs can’t be used to vote in NovemberWASHINGTON — In a win for Republicans, the Supreme Court on Thursday said that student IDs cannot be used in New Hampshire for the midterm elections. The justices granted an emergency request filed by the state, which had the backing of… -
Trump aide Corey Lewandowski "put in a box" by Trump and ordered to narrow focus to New HampshireUpdated on: October 14, 2024 / 7:23 PM EDT / CBS News As former President Donald Trump entered his final weeks of campaigning, the uneasy relationship between rival factions of his campaign's leadership has grown more testy, with sources… -
Final Michigan US Senate debate pits Rogers, El-Sayed against each other on the issuesThe second and final Michigan U.S. Senate debate was missing the fireworks of the previous one, but made up for it in substance. The debate was hosted by WXYZ-TV in Southfield. Republican former Congressman Mike Rogers eased back his… -
Abdul El-Sayed, Mike Rogers talk policy, lob attacks in final Michigan US Senate debateSOUTHFIELD, Mich. — It's the last two weeks of the midterm campaign, and the candidates for Michigan's open U.S. Senate seat, Abdul El-Sayed (D) and Mike Rogers (R), met for the final time in a Metro Detroit debate Wednesday. The previous…
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1 more
- R-House, D-Senate1%
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions