Michigan Senate Race 2026

Election day: November 3, 2026. The markets' leading names: Abdul El-Sayed, Mike Rogers.

Prediction markets

Michigan Senate winner? (In 2026)Kalshi
- Abdul El-Sayed67%▲1
- Mike Rogers34%▲1
6.5M contracts traded · closes Nov 3, 2027 · updated 5h ago
Michigan Senate Election WinnerPolymarket
- Abdul El-Sayed (D)71%▲1
- Mike Rogers (R)30%▼1
$1.6M traded · closes Nov 3, 2026 · updated 8m ago
Michigan Senate Election: Grand Traverse County WinnerPolymarket
- Abdul El-Sayed (D)56%▼6
- Mike Rogers (R)35%▼4
$5K traded · closes Nov 3, 2026 · updated 8m ago
Michigan Senate Election: Macomb County WinnerPolymarket
- Mike Rogers (R)66%▲6
- Abdul El-Sayed (D)29%▼11
$4K traded · closes Nov 3, 2026 · updated 8m ago
Michigan Senate Election: Genesee County WinnerPolymarket
- Abdul El-Sayed (D)85%
- Mike Rogers (R)12%
$3K traded · closes Nov 3, 2026 · updated 8m ago
Michigan Senate Election: Kent County WinnerPolymarket
- Abdul El-Sayed (D)84%
- Mike Rogers (R)14%
$3K traded · closes Nov 3, 2026 · updated 8m ago
Michigan Senate Election: Oakland County WinnerPolymarket
- Abdul El-Sayed (D)92%
- Mike Rogers (R)10%
$2K traded · closes Nov 3, 2026 · updated 8m ago
Michigan Governor-Senate combo (Before Nov 2026)Kalshi
- Jocelyn Benson and Abdul El-Sayed win69%▲3
- Jocelyn Benson and Mike Rogers win28%▲1
- John James and Mike Rogers win7%▼2
- John James and Abdul El-Sayed win1%
74K contracts traded · closes Nov 3, 2027 · updated 3h ago
Michigan Senate Election: TurnoutPolymarket
- 4.6M-4.8M32%▲1
- 4.8M-5M30%▼4
- 4.4M-4.6M17%▼1
- 5.6M+9%▲1
- <4.2M7%▲3
- 5M-5.2M6%▼2
- + 3 more outcomes
$22K traded · closes Nov 3, 2026 · updated 8m ago
Michigan Senate and Governor ComboPolymarket
- Dems sweep72%▼1
- Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate27%▲4
- Reps sweep4%
- Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate2%▼2
$19K traded · closes Nov 3, 2026 · updated 57m ago
Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire? (On Nov 3, 2026)Kalshi
- Michigan US Senate80%▲10
- New Hampshire US Senate27%
15K contracts traded · closes Nov 10, 2026 · updated 5h ago
Michigan Senate Election Margin of VictoryPolymarket
- El-Sayed 3-6%30%▲7
- El-Sayed 6-9%20%▼1
- Rogers 0-3%18%▲1
- El-Sayed 0-3%18%▲1
- El-Sayed 12%+8%▼1
- El-Sayed 9-12%7%▼3
- + 3 more outcomes
$9K traded · closes Nov 3, 2026 · updated 8m ago
Senate Three-Way Combo: Michigan, Minnesota, New HampshirePolymarket
- Dems sweep69%▲3
- Reps MI, Dems MN & NH21%▲1
- Dems MI & MN, Reps NH6%▼11
- Reps MI & NH, Dems MN4%
- Reps MI & MN, Dems NH3%▼1
- Reps sweep2%▲1
- + 2 more outcomes
$7K traded · closes Nov 3, 2026 · updated 57m ago
Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire?Polymarket
- Michigan74%▲2
- New Hampshire27%
$951 traded · closes Nov 3, 2026 · updated 8m ago

Prediction-market prices show what traders are paying for each outcome, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong. Not betting or investment advice.

In the news

No coverage of this race in the index in the last two weeks.

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