SettledMaintain current rateA day before, traders gave it 97%.
The last odds before it closed
—
✓ Maintain current rate97%▼ 1
Hike 1-25bps5%▲ 3
Cut 1-25bps4%▲ 2
Cut more than 25bps3%▲ 1
Hike more than 25bps3%▲ 2
How the odds have moved
Maintain current rate: 94% on Oct 20, 97% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Last odds
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
✓ Maintain current rate
97%
8.6K
✗ Hike 1-25bps
5%
784
✗ Cut 1-25bps
4%
2.8K
✗ Cut more than 25bps
3%
649
✗ Hike more than 25bps
3%
622
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
JD Vance declines to endorse Israeli PM Netanyahu for reelectionPOLITICO · 6 days agoThe vice president said he didn’t want to get involved in a non-U.S. election, though he campaigned in Hungary for former Prime Minister Viktor Orban. “I’m not anti-endorsing him. I’m not pro-endorsing him. I’m not getting involved in…
JD Vance refrains from endorsing Israeli leader Netanyahu as Trump offers praiseCNBC · 6 days agoU.S. Vice President JD Vance declined to endorse Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, after President Donald Trump offered his backing for the leader's reelection bid next week. Vance said he was not criticizing Netanyahu: "I'm not…
Hamas confirms death of senior commander killed in Israel strike on GazaCBS News · 6 days agoUpdated on: December 14, 2025 / 11:11 AM EST / CBS/AP Israel's military said it killed a top Hamas commander in Gaza who it described as one of the architects of the Oct. 7, 2023, attack that sparked the two-year-long war. The military…
Feiglin's vision for Israel: A warning to Netanyahu and a plan for GazaIsrael National News · 6 days agoMoshe Feiglin tells Arutz Sheva that Netanyahu should have resigned, calls for fundamental change in Israel's military strategy, and explains decision to run alongside Bezalel Smotrich. Feiglin's vision for Israel: A warning to Netanyahu…
Trump endorses embattled Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for reelectionNPR · 7 days agoFILE - President Donald Trump listens as Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu speaks at President Donald Trump's Mar-a-Lago club, Dec. 29, 2025, in Palm Beach, Fla. Alex Brandon/AP hide caption WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. — President…
Trump endorses Netanyahu days before Israeli electionscnn.com · 7 days agoPresident Donald Trump posted his âComplete and Total Endorsement of Bibi Netanyahuâ on Truth Social just days before Israelâs elections. CNN's Kevin Liptak reports. Trump endorses Netanyahu days before Israeli elections President…
Vance declines to offer endorsement in Netanyahu electionThe Hill · 6 days agoVice President Vance said he was “not getting involved” on Monday when asked if he endorses Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for reelection. “I’m not anti-endorsing him. I’m not pro-endorsing him,” he said during an interview on…
Hegseth meets Netanyahu during unannounced Israel visit: ReportThe Times of India · 6 days agoThe Times of India US Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth met Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu during an unannounced visit to Israel on Monday, Axios reported, citing two sources familiar with the matter.The Pentagon and Israel's…
Hegseth meets Netanyahu in unannounced visit to Israel: AxiosThe Business Standard · 6 days agoTuesday October 20, 2026 US Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth met with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu during an unannounced visit to Israel on Monday, Axios reported, citing two sources with knowledge. Reuters could not immediately…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions