Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
2%chance
Install
Brendan Carr departure announced? (Before Jan 1, 2027)
The odds
9%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 8% on Oct 19, 9% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 9% | 6¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 2.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Brendan Carr
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FCC's Democrat Calls On Broadcast Lobby To Push Back On Brendan CarrAnna Gomez, the sole Democrat on the FCC, is calling on the broadcast lobby to push back on chairman Brendan Carr‘s warning that stations could be subject to regulatory review for airing who he deemed as “fake polls.” In Gomez’s letter to… - Brendan Carr takes up Trump’s ‘fake polls’ fightThe FCC chair’s threats could mark an expansion of the FCC’s authority, which has not historically involved policing political polls. FCC Chair Brendan Carr recently joined President Donald Trump on the campaign trail in Alaska, saying he…
- FCC’s Brendan Carr warns broadcasters against covering fake pollsThe Washington Post The Trump-appointed agency chairman has repeatedly sparred with media companies, and detractors say Wednesday’s warning lacks legal heft. Brendan Carr, the chairman of the Federal Communications Commission, wrote…
- Brendan Carr targets broadcasters for airing false polls ‘without regard to basic journalistic ethics’Washington Examiner Federal Communications Commission Chairman Brendan Carr warned broadcasters against airing fabricated election polls, saying stations could face regulatory scrutiny if they knowingly mislead viewers through false…
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Lone FCC Democrat Urges Broadcasters to Push Back on Brendan Carr’s Regulatory Review Threats“Reporting the results of a poll this administration happens to dislike does not come close to meeting those standards,” Anna M. Gomez says of the so-called “fake polls” The lone Democrat on the FCC is urging broadcasters to push back on… - FCC Chair Brendan Carr is bringing Trump’s Censorship Industrial Complex to our electionsCiting “fake polls,” Carr is helping lay the groundwork for Trump to — once again — falsely claim fraud in the event of a GOP midterms wipeout. Federal Communications Commission Chair Brendan Carr issued a threat this week that adds a…
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FCC Chair Brendan Carr Echoes Trump, Threatens Broadcasters Over 'Fake Polls'Once again, a member of President Donald Trump's administration is threatening to punish private citizens for their speech using the power of the government. Specifically, the chairman of the Federal Communications Commission (FCC)… -
FCC Chair Brendan Carr Threatens Broadcasters Over Poll CoverageA Democratic strategist points out that “it’s not illegal to tell the American people that Trump is a failed president.” Federal Communications Commission Chairman Brendan Carr on Wednesday threatened broadcasters that cover what he… -
Opinion | Brendan Carr warns broadcasters about ‘fake polls’ as a real polling scandal unfoldsFederal Communications Commission Chair Brendan Carr warned broadcasters Wednesday that airing what he calls “Fake Polls and Suppression Polls” could violate their regulatory obligations, putting the FCC in the middle of how broadcasters… -
FCC’s Brendan Carr Warns Broadcast Networks Run Afoul Of Agency For Airing ‘Fake Polls’Federal Communications Commission chairman Brendan Carr warned broadcasters could violate news distortion policies if they air “fake polls”—and while he did not give any examples of fabricated polls, his comments came shortly after a newer… -
“Experimental Polling” – ANOTHER Fake Poll Exposed Covering NUMEROUS Elections– FCC’s Brendan Carr Issues Warning to BroadcastersLast August, the LA Times uncovered a “short term social experiment” allegedly intended to determine how unverified information could be distributed to the masses. A company called Median Strategies released a “poll” showing that LA Mayor… - Brendan Carr Warns Broadcasters Not to Air Fake Polls After Wedgewood Fabricated ResultsPublished 21 Oct 2026, 23:27 UTC FCC Chair Brendan Carr warned broadcasters not to air 'fake polls' or suppression polls. Carr warned such coverage could violate license terms and public-interest obligations. One story. Different accounts…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions