South Africa rate decision in November (Nov 19, 2026 meeting)
37%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate37%▼ 5
- Hike 1-25bps35%▲ 34
- Cut 1-25bps23%▲ 26
2 more
- Hike more than 25bps6%▼ 1
- Cut more than 25bps2%▼ 3
Install
Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026
The odds
2.58%median
1.38%3.38%
Median 2.58%Middle half 2.44% – 2.73%
How the odds have moved
Median: 2.53% on Oct 20, 2.58% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 1.50% | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 50.00 | ||
| Exactly 1.75% | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 132 | ||
| Exactly 2.00% | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 1.7K | ||
| Exactly 2.25% | 11% | ▼ 1 | 8¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 11.1K |
| Exactly 2.50% | 47% | ▲ 1 | 47¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | 7.5K |
| Exactly 2.75% | 40% | 39¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 4.3K | |
| Exactly 3.00% | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 68.00 | ||
| Exactly 3.25% | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 473 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Bank of Canada
Search ›-
Royal Bank Of Canada $RY Stock Bought by Diversify Advisory Services LLCPosted by Defense World Staff on Oct 25th, 2026 The business also recently declared a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Tuesday, November 24th. Shareholders of record on Monday, October 26th will be issued a dividend of C$1.76 per… -
National Bank of Canada (OTCMKTS:NTIOF) Stock Now Rated “Hold” by Wall Street AnalystsPosted by Sarita Garza on Oct 24th, 2026 Shares of National Bank of Canada (OTCMKTS:NTIOF – Get Free Report) have been assigned a consensus rating of “Hold” from the eight brokerages that are presently covering the company, MarketBeat.com… -
Amex Exploration Now Off Restriction at National Bank of CanadaAmex Exploration is now off restriction at National Bank of Canada after the company closed a C$59 million private placement, the bank said Thursday. The bank gave Amex an outperform rating and... Amex Gold Mining Inc. Amex Exploration Now… -
GE Aerospace (NYSE:GE) Stock Gets Price Target Cut from Royal Bank Of CanadaPosted by Michael Walen on Oct 24th, 2026 GE Aerospace (NYSE:GE – Free Report) had its price objective reduced by Royal Bank Of Canada from $400.00 to $375.00 in a research note published on Wednesday, Marketbeat Ratings reports. They… -
Visteon (NASDAQ:VC) Price Target Cut to $100.00 by Analysts at Royal Bank Of CanadaVisteon (NASDAQ:VC – Free Report) had its price target trimmed by Royal Bank Of Canada from $127.00 to $100.00 in a research note issued to investors on Friday,Benzinga reports. The brokerage currently has an outperform rating on the… -
Amex Exploration Maintains Outperform Rating, $3.00 Price Target at National Bank of CanadaNational Bank of Canada on Thursday reiterated its outperform rating on the shares of Amex Exploration and its $3.00 price target after the company provided updates on its Perron project in... Amex Gold Mining Inc. Amex Exploration… -
Bank of Canada: Gradual return to neutral – TD SecuritiesTD Securities’ macro team, led by Andrew Kelvin and Robert Both, does not share market conviction for an October Bank of Canada rate hike. They expect the BoC to hold at 2.25% now, then deliver 25bp increases in December and January… - Amex Exploration Maintained at Outperform with a $2.50 Price Target at National Bank of CanadaNational Bank of Canada on Tuesday reiterated its outperform rating on the shares of Amex Exploration and its $2.50 price target. Amex recently announced the results of one hole drilled in the... Amex Gold Mining Inc. Amex Exploration…
- Is the Bank of Canada about to make a big mistake?Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem is seen during a news conference in Ottawa in June. Markets increasingly think the central bank will nudge rates up at its meeting on Wednesday.The Canadian Press/The Canadian Press Nothing is set in…
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Royal Bank of Canada Issues Callable Contingent Coupon Notes Linked to Netflix Stock Maturing in 2028On October 23, 2026, Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) filed a free writing prospectus detailing terms for Issuer Callable Contingent Coupon Barrier Notes tied to Netflix, Inc. common stock. The notes have a ... On October 23, 2026, Royal Bank of… -
International Business Machines (NYSE:IBM) Earns “Outperform” Rating from Royal Bank Of CanadaPosted by Defense World Staff on Oct 23rd, 2026 International Business Machines (NYSE:IBM – Get Free Report)‘s stock had its “outperform” rating reissued by Royal Bank Of Canada in a research report issued on Thursday, Benzinga reports… -
Abbott Laboratories (NYSE:ABT) Given New $125.00 Price Target at Royal Bank Of CanadaPosted by Defense World Staff on Oct 23rd, 2026 Abbott Laboratories (NYSE:ABT – Free Report) had its price objective decreased by Royal Bank Of Canada from $130.00 to $125.00 in a report issued on Thursday,Benzinga reports. Royal Bank Of…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions