Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
2%chance
Install
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? (2029)
The odds
Jan 9, 2027even chance by
- Before Nov 202611%
- Before Dec 202646%▼ 3
- Before Jan 202761%▼ 2
How the odds have moved
Before Nov 2026: 10% on Oct 20, 11% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Sep 2026 | 5% | $20.00 | 1.8K | |||
| Before Oct 2026 | 2% | $50.00 | 4.9K | |||
| Before Nov 2026 | 11% | 10¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 3.5K | |
| Before Dec 2026 | 46% | ▼ 3 | 42¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | 3.3K |
| Before Jan 2027 | 61% | ▼ 2 | 58¢ | 63¢ | $1.59 | 6.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Trump's Cabinet
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Critics See Sexism in Trump Cabinet OustersKimberly Guilfoyle's ouster as US ambassador to Greece highlights a pattern in President Trump's administration: women facing accusations of wrongdoing are regularly... Critics See Sexism in Trump Cabinet Ousters Kimberly Guilfoyle's… -
Trump denies limiting Ukraine's Starlink accessFox News Trump denies limiting Ukraine's Starlink access Fox News senior White House correspondent Peter Doocy has the latest on rumors surrounding the rest of President Donald Trump's Cabinet and the U.S.-Ukraine relations on 'Special… -
The Trump cabinet debates are increasingly dominated by women: Is there greater tolerance for male officials?The departure of numerous high-ranking female officials from the Trump administration, while many male colleagues remain in their positions despite scandals, is sparking debate about how the American leader treats his associates. According… -
Republicans Finally Kick Trump Out Of OfficeIt was a cloudy Monday morning when J.D. Vance decided to meet with Mike Johnson personally to discuss a grave matter. He was holding a document that him and the entire Trump cabinet had put together. Things had finally gone too far. He… -
Trump's trade adviser defends tariffs, touts Texas Instrument investment in new Lehi plantSALT LAKE CITY — President Donald Trump's cabinet adviser on trade toured the new semiconductor plant being built by Texas Instruments in Lehi last week and defended the administration's approach to tariffs as consumer goods rose again… -
Downing Street hits back at Pete Hegseth after 'diminishing role' of Britain in AfghanistanDonald Trump's Secretary of War suggested that 'maybe five' other countries contributed in Afghanistan WATCH: Foreign Correspondent Sara Firth reacts to rift between UK and US over Afghan war record Andy Burnham has hit back at Pete… -
Kristi Noem Hit With Backlash Over Hunting Photo 2 Years After Admitting to Killing Family DogShe added, "As Governor, I partnered with landowners to start the Second Century Initiative, helping turn marginal land into wildlife habitat so the next generation can enjoy the same hunting traditions we grew up with." "The worst… -
Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer leaving amid investigation into alleged misconductShe is the third member of Trump's Cabinet to leave since March. Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer is exiting the Trump administration, White House Director of Communications Steven Cheung announced Monday. "Labor Secretary Lori… -
Kimberly Guilfoyle Resigns Post: Inside Trump's Cabinet ReshuffleFox News Headlines 24/7 - Kimberly Guilfoyle Resigns Post: Inside Trump's Cabinet Reshuffle FOX One Fox News Headlines 24/7 - Kimberly Guilfoyle Resigns Post: Inside Trump's Cabinet Reshuffle Kimberly Guilfoyle resigns her ambassador post… -
Rep. Min and Sen. Welch Lead Probe into Role of Trump Cabinet Members in Obtaining Pardons of Convicted FelonsThe bicameral group of lawmakers are looking into whether U.S. Health and Human Services (HHS) Secretary Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., and U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Administrator Lee Zeldin used their access to inappropriately… - Press Release: Rep. Dave Min, Sen. Welch Lead Inquiry Into Trump Cabinet Members’ Role in PardonsLawmakers open clemency inquiry: Rep. Dave Min, Sen. Peter Welch, Sen. Richard Blumenthal and Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon said they are investigating whether Trump administration cabinet members helped secure pardons for convicted felons. The…
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Zacharia makes first statement since leaving job as White House press secretaryKatie Zacharia said working for President Donald Trump was an honor. Katie Zacharia is reportedly transitioning out of her role as White House press secretary after less than a week on the job. Zacharia did not confirm her departure…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.