Bratislava mayoral election winner? (October 24, 2026)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closed Sun 1:51 PM ET · $269 today · $1.2K traded · $706 at stake

Settled Matúš ValloA day before, traders gave it 97%.

The last odds before it closed

97%Matúš Vallo

✓ Matúš Vallo97%▲ 7
Jozef Ráž2%▼ 3
Zuzana Šubová<1%▼ 3
Ľubomír Geci<1%▼ 3

How the odds have moved

Matúš Vallo: 88% on Oct 19, 97% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Last odds	Contracts
✓ Matúš Vallo	97%	1.2K
✗ Jozef Ráž	2%	237
✗ Zuzana Šubová	<1%	38.00
✗ Ľubomír Geci	<1%	38.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Bratislava, Matúš Vallo, Jozef Ráž

Search ›

Slovakia Votes in Local Elections as Robert Fico Faces Test of Public SupportEU Today · 43 h agoSlovakia is voting in nationwide municipal and regional elections on Saturday, 24 October, providing the first major electoral test of Prime Minister Robert Fico’s government since a series of parliamentary disputes weakened his governing…
Polls close in Slovak regional and local vote seen as test for FicoYahoo News · 34 h agoRegional and local elections in Slovakia wrapped up on Saturday evening without any serious incidents. Observers regard the vote as an important barometer of public sentiment ahead of the general election, which must take place by autumn…
Belarus reopening its embassy in Bratislava, with priorities for bilateral co-operation outlinedСБ. Беларусь сегодня · 5 days agoСБ. Беларусь сегодня Today, October 21st, Igor Fisenko, the Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of Belarus to Slovakia, presented his credentials to Slovakia’s President Peter Pellegrini, sb.by reports citing the Belarusian…
Moscow Returns to Bratislava: How Robert Fico’s Government Is Weakening Europe’s Policy of Isolating RussiaRobert Lansing Institute · 9 days agoThe Russian-Slovak intergovernmental commission meeting scheduled for November 25, 2026, in Moscow represents more than a routine resumption of bilateral economic contacts. Against the backdrop of Russia’s ongoing war against Ukraine, it…
Bratislava secures Moscow next wariess.org.ua · 10 days agoOn October 6, 2026, Slovak Defense Minister Robert Kaliňák delivered a statement that effectively nullifies his country’s defensive posture: Bratislava, he declared, does not perceive Putin's Russia as a threat. What is most cynical about…
Ambassador Safaa Khalidi Enhances Palestine's Cultural and Diplomatic Presence on Asian Countries' Folklore Day in the Slovak Capital BratislavaSada News Agency · 14 days agoAmbassador Safaa Khalidi Enhances Palestines Cultural and Diplomatic Presence on Asian Countries Folklore Day in the Slovak Capital Bratislava - Sada News Agency وكالة صدى نيوز Ambassador Safaa Khalidi Enhances Palestine's Cultural and…
Ambassador Al-Khalidi Highlights Palestinian Cultural Identity and Strengthens Its Diplomatic Presence in Bratislavaشبكة يافا الإخبارية · 14 days agoشبكة يافا الإخبارية

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onCity of Bratislava municipal election commission

Trading closesOct 24, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$1.2K (1,494 contracts)

Today$269

This week$890

At stake$706

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Matúš Vallo wins the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions