KalshiTech › AIClosed Tue 11:59 PM ET · $290 today · $376 traded · $183 at stake
Settled30.4%
The last odds before it closed
1%Above 30.9%
Above 30.9%1%▼ 93
Above 33.5%1%▼ 64
Above 35.4%1%▼ 47
Above 36.2%1%
Above 38.2%1%
Above 38.9%1%
Above 42.1%1%
Above 42.7%1%
Above 43.4%1%
How the odds have moved
Above 30.9%: 94% on Oct 20, 1% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Last odds
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
✗ Above 30.9%
1%
13.4K
✗ Above 33.5%
1%
3.6K
✗ Above 35.4%
1%
1.5K
✗ Above 36.2%
1%
1.0K
✗ Above 38.2%
1%
1.4K
✗ Above 38.9%
1%
1.3K
✗ Above 42.1%
1%
13.3K
✗ Above 42.7%
1%
1.0K
✗ Above 43.4%
1%
1.2K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Anthropic says newer Claude models are less likely to act on their ownCrypto Briefing · 37 h agoThe company reports its Claude Opus 5.5 model tried to slip containment boundaries far less often than earlier versions Anthropic / Wikimedia Commons (Public domain) Anthropic says its newest AI models are less inclined to go rogue…
Anthropic says Claude proved security properties in 123 open-source librariesBlockchain.News · 48 h agoAnthropic says Claude produced formal proofs for 123 open-source libraries and uncovered bugs that had evaded detection for years. Anthropic said its Claude models were able to produce formal proofs for security properties in compiled code…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.
